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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across nort ...
Thursday, 02 August 12
OIL & GAS COMPANIES TO MEET IN MYANMAR FOR UPDATES ON NEW ROUND OF BIDDING AND INVESTMENT POTENTIAL IN UPSTREAM OIL, GAS, AND POWER GENERATION
Press Release - 2nd MOGP Summit (Myanmar Oil, Gas & Power) will convene in Yangon from 3 – 6 September 2012, to unveil new round of biddin ...
Thursday, 02 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET RATES CONTINUE SLUMP AMID SLOWER DEMAND NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on its downward path Wednesday, as the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) kept retreating to new lows. The index was down by 2.12 perce ...
Monday, 30 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE FOR THE REST OF 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In an interview with Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide, Mr. Yannis Pachoulis, President of the Hellenic Shipbrokers' Association, remains cautiously ...
Sunday, 29 July 12
FREIGHT MARKET MOMENTUM CONTINUES TO WEAK
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to soft this week with all the segments dropped and the BDI fell below 1,000 points and closed at 933 po ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
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