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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 06 August 12
3RD ANNUAL INDONESIA POWER
Press Release - 3rd Annual Indonesia Power is Indonesia’s premier power event, where commercial opportunities and new projects are identified. ...
Monday, 06 August 12
COAL EXPORTS COULD ADD $2B TO $6B ANNUALLY TO U.S. ECONOMY - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Business groups backing Pacific Northwest coal export proposals on Thursday lauded a new report that claims increased U.S. coal exports could bring ...
Sunday, 05 August 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE WAY UP
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 1.36 percent on Friday (3 August 2012) closing W-o-W but gained& ...
Sunday, 05 August 12
INDONESIA'S ADARO TRIMS PRODUCTION FORECAST, CITES BAD ECONOMY - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta globe reported that, Adaro Energy, the country’s second-largest coal producer, has cut its annual production forecast to between ...
Sunday, 05 August 12
DRY BULK FREIGHT MARKET TO STAY WEAK NEXT COUPLE OF WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to soften further in all segments.
The BDI was down by 8.68 pct closing at 852 points. The cape index ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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