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Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships worth almost $1 trillion. So the news that on 1st July 2011 the world merchant fleet passed this important milestone deserves a little reflection on where we have come from and where we are going.
55 Years of Change
The last anniversary of this sort was in 1955 when the fleet reached 100 million gross tons. But today’s fleet is very different. Of course it has grown tenfold, averaging 4.2% per year, but back in 1955 shipping was also very different. Liners and tramps dominated cargo and the premium cargo was people. Fifty six years and 100,000+ investment decisions later everything has changed. Air liners replaced passenger liners; containerships replaced cargo liners and bulkers replaced tramps. Only tankers survived and they are much bigger.
Investment Roller-Coaster
Although this sounds like neat strategic development, for shipping investors it was a nightmare because the growth path was unbelievably volatile. Business started with a surge of growth - between 1955 and 1975 the growth rate accelerated from 4% to 10.2% as investors queued up to order super-tankers and bulkers, funded by the emerging Eurodollar market. That phase peaked in 1975 and by 1985 growth had slumped to -1%. Then it all started again, with growth surging to 8+% in 2010. Part of this volatility was caused by fluctuations in trade growth which was very fast (8%pa) in the run up to the 1975 peak, then grew by just 1% pa in the 1980s and by around 3% since then. But fleet growth was supercharged by investor’s enthusiasm for playing the market using easy Eurodollar finance.
Productivity Puzzle
One surprising lesson from all this is that, despite the chaotic boom and bust environment, the industry was very successful in delivering the new technology which the globalising world economy needed - a state-of-the-art fleet of tankers, bulk carriers and containerships, all carefully graduated in size to meet the complex needs of the modern trading world for cheap sea transport. Another surprise is that the fleet’s transport “productivity” did not increase very much. In 1955 100m GT transported 820mt of cargo, about 8.2t per GT. Today 1 billion GT delivers around 8.4bn tons of cargo, an average of 8.4t per GT.
A Job Well Done
So there you have it. Shipping cycles are about getting the right ships for the trade, at the cheapest freight rates. After 100,000 angst ridden investment decisions shipping investors have really delivered the goods - a billion tons of ships, tailored to the complex needs of the modern global economy, and super low freight rates. On which note, an extra pat on the back to Capesize owners who are doing such a splendid job today, regardless of cost.
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons / Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 23 July 11
FAR EAST /SE ASIA ROUTE GAINED US$ 3000 HIGHER THAN LAST WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI further softened to by 2.22 pct and closed at 1323 points. The Cape and Panamax index also softened and closed at 1841 points ...
Saturday, 23 July 11
PANAMAX MARKET FACED A LIMITED ACTIVITY IN ALL BASINS
Handy
Atlantic softening across all segments with little fresh enquiry ex Bsea/Cont/USG and ECSA. Trips to Far east remain healthy. More cargoes ex ...
Friday, 22 July 11
MARUBENI ACQUIRING 42.86% SHARE OF YTL JAWA POWER HOLDINGS
COALspot.com - Japan’s Marubeni Corporation acquisition 42.86% stake in YTL Jawa Power Holdings BV, which owns a 35% equity interest in Indone ...
Thursday, 21 July 11
INDIA IMPORTS 36.033 MILLION TONS OF INDONESIAN COAL TILL JUNE
COALspot.com - Indonesia shipped 28.27 Million tons of coal in June 2011, a 2.3 percent lesser than May export of about 28.962 million tons, I ...
Thursday, 21 July 11
COAL PRICES ARE AT US$ 120 A TONNE
COALspot.com - Indonesian coal production in 2011 is expected to reach 360 million tons or 5.8 percent higher than government's forecasts. The incr ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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