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Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships worth almost $1 trillion. So the news that on 1st July 2011 the world merchant fleet passed this important milestone deserves a little reflection on where we have come from and where we are going.
55 Years of Change
The last anniversary of this sort was in 1955 when the fleet reached 100 million gross tons. But today’s fleet is very different. Of course it has grown tenfold, averaging 4.2% per year, but back in 1955 shipping was also very different. Liners and tramps dominated cargo and the premium cargo was people. Fifty six years and 100,000+ investment decisions later everything has changed. Air liners replaced passenger liners; containerships replaced cargo liners and bulkers replaced tramps. Only tankers survived and they are much bigger.
Investment Roller-Coaster
Although this sounds like neat strategic development, for shipping investors it was a nightmare because the growth path was unbelievably volatile. Business started with a surge of growth - between 1955 and 1975 the growth rate accelerated from 4% to 10.2% as investors queued up to order super-tankers and bulkers, funded by the emerging Eurodollar market. That phase peaked in 1975 and by 1985 growth had slumped to -1%. Then it all started again, with growth surging to 8+% in 2010. Part of this volatility was caused by fluctuations in trade growth which was very fast (8%pa) in the run up to the 1975 peak, then grew by just 1% pa in the 1980s and by around 3% since then. But fleet growth was supercharged by investor’s enthusiasm for playing the market using easy Eurodollar finance.
Productivity Puzzle
One surprising lesson from all this is that, despite the chaotic boom and bust environment, the industry was very successful in delivering the new technology which the globalising world economy needed - a state-of-the-art fleet of tankers, bulk carriers and containerships, all carefully graduated in size to meet the complex needs of the modern trading world for cheap sea transport. Another surprise is that the fleet’s transport “productivity” did not increase very much. In 1955 100m GT transported 820mt of cargo, about 8.2t per GT. Today 1 billion GT delivers around 8.4bn tons of cargo, an average of 8.4t per GT.
A Job Well Done
So there you have it. Shipping cycles are about getting the right ships for the trade, at the cheapest freight rates. After 100,000 angst ridden investment decisions shipping investors have really delivered the goods - a billion tons of ships, tailored to the complex needs of the modern global economy, and super low freight rates. On which note, an extra pat on the back to Capesize owners who are doing such a splendid job today, regardless of cost.
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons / Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 20 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ON FALLING ON SOFTENING CONDITIONS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market retreated to lower ground on Tuesday, as the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) fell to 1,330 points, down b ...
Tuesday, 19 July 11
82 MIO TONS OF COAL TO BE SUPPLIED FOR DOMESTIC MARKET
Indonesian Coal miners were required to supply 82 million tons of coal to Domestic market in this year. This is a 2.53 percent higher than last year ...
Monday, 18 July 11
IMFA BUYS A INDONESIAN COAL MINE FOR USD 8.7 M
Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys (IMFA), the largest producer of ferro chrome in the country, today said it has acquired 70 per cent stake in an Indones ...
Sunday, 17 July 11
THE COAL PRICES ARE SOFTENING DUE TO LESS DEMAND - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The markets were down last week with BDI down by 6.63 points and closing at 1,353 points. The most affected was Cape index which was d ...
Friday, 15 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET SUFFERS NEW BLOW, RETREATS EVEN FURTHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market fell even lower yesterday on the back of lower demand for larger vessels, like Capesizes and Panamaxes. The industry’s ben ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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