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Wednesday, 13 May 09
COAL SUPPLY MAY BE VASTLY OVERESTIMATED - ABC SCIENCE
 The world's coal supply suggests reserves may be vastly overestimated and we could be facing an unprecedented global energy crisis, according to a US expert.
On the flip side, a dwindling supply of coal could also throw the brakes on global warming, some argue.
Common knowledge about coal is that major producing nations like China, the United States and Australia, have enough to last hundreds of years, far beyond the reach of oil, which may already be in its twilight years.
But worldwide coal production could plateau as early as 2025, according to one new estimate, and a growing group of scientists are concerned that fossil fuel supplies may begin dwindling by mid-century.
Last year, David Rutledge of the California Institute of Technology analysed the coal production patterns of five regions around the world - eastern Pennsylvania, France, Germany's Ruhr Valley, the United Kingdom and Japan - each of which was producing at less than a tenth of its peak levels.
He found that each of the depleted regions followed a rough bell curve of production; initial production was followed by a steep ramp-up, a plateau near peak levels, and then a consistent decline.
When he applied the same formula to coal data from around the world, the results were startling.
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's maximum estimate for extractable coal is about 3000 billion tonnes. Rutledge's calculations suggest just 600 billion tonnes.
The problem with the IPCC estimate is that it lumps coal reserves, which are easy to mine, with coal resources, which may be impossible to mine.
Time for rethink
Rutledge's study also shows that, historically, national governments in the five regions have overestimated their reserves by a factor of four on average.
"These appraisals are large-scale issues," he says. "But they're done by governments. What's the incentive for governments not to give a number that is too high?"
James Murray of the University of Washington agrees.
In a talk being presented later this month at the American Geophysical Union Joint Assembly, he plans to call for a re-evaluation of IPCC emissions scenarios, all 40 of which overstate humanity's ability to emit the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide, according to Rutledge's numbers.
The committee's projections predict CO2 levels in the atmosphere to approach 500 parts per million by 2050, if emissions continue on their current trend.
But Rutledge's work suggest that even if humans burn all the coal and oil we can get our hands on, we won't be able to push CO2 past 450 ppm. Oil sands and other unconventional fossil fuels probably won't add much to that total.
Murray and Rutledge diverge on the question of climate effects, though.
Using IPCC models, Rutlgedge argues that global temperatures won't get higher than 2°C above pre-industrial levels, at the lower end of what scientists think might spark 'dangerous' climate change.
"We're still going to have global warming, and it's a serious threat," says Murray. "I have no doubt the IPCC dramatically underestimates climate sensitivity."
Regardless of climate impacts, the concern over looming energy scarcity may be more acute than ever.
"I think we'll see peak coal somewhere between 2025 and 2035," says Richard Heinberg of the Post Carbon Institute in California. "This has huge economic implications. Without growth in our energy supplies, it's very difficult to see how we're going to grow the economy."
Source: http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2009/05/13/2569143.htm
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Saturday, 02 May 09
COAL PRICES TO RISE ON CHINESE SUPPLY, INDIAN DEMAND, UBS SAYS
Peter Hickson, an analyst with UBS AG in London, comments on prices for thermal coal, burned to generate power. He commented in a report today.
& ...
Friday, 01 May 09
DEUTSCHE, BECKKETT CLAIMING ADARO WIN - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
Both Deutsche Bank AG and Beckkett, an investment firm controlled by Indonesian tycoon Sukanto Tanoto, claimed victory on Tuesday after Singapore&rs ...
Thursday, 30 April 09
SAN MIGUEL IN TALKS TO BUY STAKE IN ADARO - REUTERS
San Miguel Corp is in talks to buy a stake worth about $500 million in Adaro Energy , Indonesia's largest coal producer by market value, the Philip ...
Wednesday, 29 April 09
BAYAN READY TO OPERATE WORLD'S LARGEST COAL QUALITY IMPROVEMENT FACILITY - MAJALAH TAMBANG
PT. Bayan Resources Tbk. (hereinafter referred to as Bayan), an Indonesian coal manufacturer, announced that they are ready to operate the world's ...
Wednesday, 29 April 09
NEW GOV'T REGULATION SHOULD INCORPORATE CONFLICT SETTLEMENT BODY - ICMA (MAJALAH TAMBANG)
A draft government regulation on mineral and coal is currently in a process of completion. The Indonesian Coal Mining Association (ICMA) proposed th ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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