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Wednesday, 09 August 23
COAL TRADE TO RETURN TO 2019 LEVELS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The International Energy Agency’s mid-year Coal Market Update for 2023 brings both positive and concerning news for the global coal industry. After a tumultuous few years marked by the Covid-19 shock in 2020 and the turmoil caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the coal markets have returned to more predictable and stable patterns in 2023. Notably, coal trade is heading back to 2019 volumes, with Chinese imports leading the charge.
One significant factor contributing to the surge in coal imports is the decline in coal prices. Cheaper coal has made imports more attractive, especially for price-sensitive buyers. China, the world’s largest coal consumer and producer, has almost doubled its imports in the first half of 2023. As a result, global coal trade is projected to grow by more than 7%, outpacing overall demand growth and approaching record levels seen in 2019. Seaborne coal trade may even surpass the 2019 record of 1.3 billion tonnes.
Another reason for the upward trajectory in coal supply is the stronger financial position of coal mining companies. Despite no new large-scale projects coming online, the high prices in 2022 have left these companies with more robust balance sheets, allowing them to invest in sustaining and even expanding capital expenditures. Additionally, the end of La Niña, which hampered coal production in Australia, has bolstered the coal supply outlook for 2023, despite the retreat of coal prices from their peak.
Renewed demand
The demand side of the equation is also playing a vital role in the resurgence of coal trade.
Even the European Union, traditionally a coal importer, temporarily turned into an exporter of thermal coal due to ample inventories accumulated during the previous year and reduced coal-fired power generation.
Global coal consumption reached an all-time high in 2022 and is expected to remain near that record level in 2023. Asia, led by China, India, and Southeast Asian countries, is expected to account for a significant portion of coal consumption. China and India together are projected to use almost 75% of the world’s coal in 2023, further solidifying their dominance in the market.
Despite the positive developments in the coal industry, concerns remain regarding the environmental impact of coal usage. Coal remains the largest single source of carbon emissions from the energy sector, and while clean energy has put coal use into structural decline in Europe and the United States, demand remains stubbornly high in Asia.
To address this, the IEA emphasises the need for greater policy efforts, investments, and stronger international cooperation to drive a massive surge in clean energy and energy efficiency to reduce coal demand in rapidly growing economies.
“But demand remains stubbornly high in Asia, even as many of those economies have significantly ramped up renewable energy sources. We need greater policy efforts and investments – backed by stronger international cooperation – to drive a massive surge in clean energy and energy efficiency to reduce coal demand in economies where energy needs are growing fast.”
Forward look
The mid-year Coal Market Update also provides insights into the future of the coal industry. Global coal demand is projected to remain flat in 2024, with declines in the electricity sector offset by small increases in the industrial sector as economic conditions improve. Asia, particularly India and Southeast Asia, is expected to experience growth in coal demand, while the United States and the European Union will see further declines. China and India are set to continue dominating the global coal consumption landscape, accounting for more than half of the world’s coal use.
Source: Baltic Exchange
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Wednesday, 22 March 23
WILL LOWER GAS PRICES SPARK SWITCHING IN EUROPE AND ASIA?
Record high prices devastated demand for gas and LNG across Asia and Europe last year. But with prices falling, companies are starting to re-evalua ...
Monday, 20 March 23
NTPC MULLS 5.4 MILLION TONNES COAL IMPORT IN FIRST HALF OF 2023-24: PTI
State-run power giant NTPC is planning to import around 5.4 million tonnes of coal to meet the supply shortage during the first half 2023-24 fiscal ...
Monday, 20 March 23
S. AFRICA’S EXXARO RESOURCES SAYS COAL PRICES COOLING OFF - REUTERS
South Africa’s Exxaro Resources on Thursday posted a 28% jump in 2022 profit after seeing average coal prices surge more than 150%, but warne ...
Saturday, 18 March 23
RUSSIAN LNG EXPORTS TO EUROPE REMAIN HIGH - VESSELS VALUE
Russian LNG exports to Europe remained at very high levels in February at 3.6 million CBM, following a 13 month high in January of 4.1 million CBM. ...
Saturday, 18 March 23
HEDGE TO OFFSET LNG VOLATILITY, TRADERS TOLD - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A shift in imports from Asia to Europe led to significant volatility in liquefied natural gas shipping last year, prompting industry experts to urg ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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