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Wednesday, 09 August 23
COAL TRADE TO RETURN TO 2019 LEVELS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The International Energy Agency’s mid-year Coal Market Update for 2023 brings both positive and concerning news for the global coal industry. After a tumultuous few years marked by the Covid-19 shock in 2020 and the turmoil caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the coal markets have returned to more predictable and stable patterns in 2023. Notably, coal trade is heading back to 2019 volumes, with Chinese imports leading the charge.
One significant factor contributing to the surge in coal imports is the decline in coal prices. Cheaper coal has made imports more attractive, especially for price-sensitive buyers. China, the world’s largest coal consumer and producer, has almost doubled its imports in the first half of 2023. As a result, global coal trade is projected to grow by more than 7%, outpacing overall demand growth and approaching record levels seen in 2019. Seaborne coal trade may even surpass the 2019 record of 1.3 billion tonnes.
Another reason for the upward trajectory in coal supply is the stronger financial position of coal mining companies. Despite no new large-scale projects coming online, the high prices in 2022 have left these companies with more robust balance sheets, allowing them to invest in sustaining and even expanding capital expenditures. Additionally, the end of La Niña, which hampered coal production in Australia, has bolstered the coal supply outlook for 2023, despite the retreat of coal prices from their peak.
Renewed demand
The demand side of the equation is also playing a vital role in the resurgence of coal trade.
Even the European Union, traditionally a coal importer, temporarily turned into an exporter of thermal coal due to ample inventories accumulated during the previous year and reduced coal-fired power generation.
Global coal consumption reached an all-time high in 2022 and is expected to remain near that record level in 2023. Asia, led by China, India, and Southeast Asian countries, is expected to account for a significant portion of coal consumption. China and India together are projected to use almost 75% of the world’s coal in 2023, further solidifying their dominance in the market.
Despite the positive developments in the coal industry, concerns remain regarding the environmental impact of coal usage. Coal remains the largest single source of carbon emissions from the energy sector, and while clean energy has put coal use into structural decline in Europe and the United States, demand remains stubbornly high in Asia.
To address this, the IEA emphasises the need for greater policy efforts, investments, and stronger international cooperation to drive a massive surge in clean energy and energy efficiency to reduce coal demand in rapidly growing economies.
“But demand remains stubbornly high in Asia, even as many of those economies have significantly ramped up renewable energy sources. We need greater policy efforts and investments – backed by stronger international cooperation – to drive a massive surge in clean energy and energy efficiency to reduce coal demand in economies where energy needs are growing fast.”
Forward look
The mid-year Coal Market Update also provides insights into the future of the coal industry. Global coal demand is projected to remain flat in 2024, with declines in the electricity sector offset by small increases in the industrial sector as economic conditions improve. Asia, particularly India and Southeast Asia, is expected to experience growth in coal demand, while the United States and the European Union will see further declines. China and India are set to continue dominating the global coal consumption landscape, accounting for more than half of the world’s coal use.
Source: Baltic Exchange
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Saturday, 25 March 23
ASIAN CRUDE PALM OIL WATCH 1Q23 - FITCH RATINGS
Malaysian benchmark crude palm oil (CPO) spot prices have averaged around USD915 per tonne (t) so far in 1Q23, sharply lower than the average of ar ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORT INCREASED BY 21.0% YOY TO 388.4 MLN T IN 2022 - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels. In the f ...
Saturday, 25 March 23
GLOBAL LNG-ASIA SPOT PRICES SLIP AS WEAK NORTHERN DEMAND REMAINS - REUTERS
Asian spot prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) declined this week, falling to a 21-month low, as weak demand in the northeast Asia region continu ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
OIL PRICE FALL SPECULATIVE, TO HIT $140 BY YEAR-END -ANDURAND: REUTERS
The recent fall in oil prices due to banking jitters is speculative and oil will hit $140 a barrel by the end of the year, hedge fund manager Pierr ...
Wednesday, 22 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The crude tanker market continues to gather momentum as we head towards the end of 1Q2023, against a backdrop of strong U.S. exports paired with a ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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