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Saturday, 20 May 23
NON-OPEC OIL SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT - OPEC
 In 2022, non-OPEC supply is estimated to have increased by 1.9 mb/d y-o-y. Out of this, US liquids production increased by 1.2 mb/d, mainly on the back of light tight oil production and increased NGLs output from non-conventional basins. US light tight crude production increased by 0.5 mb/d, with the Permian constituting the main source of growth, increasing by 0.6 mb/d, supported by a relatively lower breakeven price and higher drilling rig activities, while output in the Bakken and Eagle Ford declined. Liquids supply in Russia rose by around 230 tb/d. Canada, Guyana, China, Brazil and Oman also contributed to production growth in 2022. These developments were partially offset by supply declines totalling around 0.5 mb/d, mainly from Norway, Thailand and the UK.
Capital spending for oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) in non-OPEC countries increased by US$72 bn y-o-y in 2022 to US$431 bn. It is expected to rise by around 10% y-o-y in 2023. On a country level, E&P spending for 2023 is forecast to increase in Norway, Brazil, the US and Canada by 26%, 15%, 12%, and 8%, y-o-y, respectively. The year 2022 proved to be an extraordinary period for the energy market, with most oil and gas companies witnessing healthy profits. However, the ratio of investment to cash from operations was exceedingly low, since many international oil companies continue to focus on capital discipline to improve their balance sheets. Overall investment levels for non-OPEC supply in 2023 are expected to be just above pre-pandemic levels. However, this is still significantly below the high of US$747 bn in 2014.
For 2023, non-OPEC liquids supply is forecast to grow by 1.4 mb/d y-o-y. There remains substantial uncertainty, however, regarding geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe and the potential impact on Russian oil supply. Moreover, US liquids supply developments will continue to hinge on the degree of capital discipline employed by companies and the extent to which cost inflation impacts oil production. Liquids’ output in the OECD is expected to increase by 1.5 mb/d y-o-y in 2023, mainly on the back of production increases in the US, Norway and Canada. US crude oil and condensate production is anticipated to grow by 0.7 mb/d, with NGLs and biofuel production also expected to rise. In the US, the oil rig count has rebounded from 490 units in January 2022 to 591 units in the last week of April 2023. Moreover, US core oil frac operations continue to stay above 1,000, on a monthly basis. Canadian oil production, particularly Alberta’s oil sands, is forecast to grow by 0.2 mb/d y-o-y in 2023. Production growth in the North Sea and OECD Europe countries is also projected at around 0.2 mb/d, mainly supported by the ramp-up of the second phase of Norway’s Johan Sverdrup field development.
In the non-OECD region, Latin America is forecast to be the key driver for liquids supply. Output in the region is set to increase by 0.4 mb/d y-o-y in 2023, mainly from five offshore startups in Brazil and stable production at the Liza FPSOs in Guyana. Liquids output in Kazakhstan and China is also expected to rise y-o-y, by around 110 tb/d and 70 tb/d, respectively.
Uncertainties to the forecast remain large, especially given ongoing geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe. Moreover, high inflation levels, coupled with supply chain issues and monetary tightening by major central banks may also impact the cost of oil production and upstream sector investment levels. Given the uncertainties ahead, OPEC Member Countries and countries participating in the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC) will continue to closely monitor market developments over the remainder of the year, to help safeguard a stable and balanced market for the benefit of both consumers and producers.
Source: OPEC
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Monday, 31 October 22
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 12.3 PCT IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted stable expansion in September, official data showed.
The country produced 390 million tonnes of ...
Wednesday, 26 October 22
BIMCO PUBLISHES UPDATED GENCON CONTRACT
BIMCO has published a revised and updated version GENCON 2022 – one of its flagship contracts within its portfolio of standard contracts for ...
Monday, 24 October 22
KOSPO TO INVITE 400,000 MT OF COAL FOR 3 YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an international tender for 400,000 MT of 3,800 - 4,400kcal/kg NCV and Sulfur Max 0 ...
Wednesday, 19 October 22
ASIA COULD BE A BRIGHT SPOT AMID GLOBAL DOWNTURN NEXT YEAR, ECONOMISTS SAY - CNBC
Asia — especially Southeast Asia — remains a bright spot, even as the global economy looks set to head into recession next year, econom ...
Wednesday, 19 October 22
WHAT WILL THE GAS MARKET LOOK LIKE IN A NET ZERO WORLD? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The global gas and LNG market faces a number of ‘great unknowns’. With the market in turmoil uncertainty abounds – from the scale ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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