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Saturday, 20 May 23
NON-OPEC OIL SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT - OPEC
 In 2022, non-OPEC supply is estimated to have increased by 1.9 mb/d y-o-y. Out of this, US liquids production increased by 1.2 mb/d, mainly on the back of light tight oil production and increased NGLs output from non-conventional basins. US light tight crude production increased by 0.5 mb/d, with the Permian constituting the main source of growth, increasing by 0.6 mb/d, supported by a relatively lower breakeven price and higher drilling rig activities, while output in the Bakken and Eagle Ford declined. Liquids supply in Russia rose by around 230 tb/d. Canada, Guyana, China, Brazil and Oman also contributed to production growth in 2022. These developments were partially offset by supply declines totalling around 0.5 mb/d, mainly from Norway, Thailand and the UK.
Capital spending for oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) in non-OPEC countries increased by US$72 bn y-o-y in 2022 to US$431 bn. It is expected to rise by around 10% y-o-y in 2023. On a country level, E&P spending for 2023 is forecast to increase in Norway, Brazil, the US and Canada by 26%, 15%, 12%, and 8%, y-o-y, respectively. The year 2022 proved to be an extraordinary period for the energy market, with most oil and gas companies witnessing healthy profits. However, the ratio of investment to cash from operations was exceedingly low, since many international oil companies continue to focus on capital discipline to improve their balance sheets. Overall investment levels for non-OPEC supply in 2023 are expected to be just above pre-pandemic levels. However, this is still significantly below the high of US$747 bn in 2014.
For 2023, non-OPEC liquids supply is forecast to grow by 1.4 mb/d y-o-y. There remains substantial uncertainty, however, regarding geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe and the potential impact on Russian oil supply. Moreover, US liquids supply developments will continue to hinge on the degree of capital discipline employed by companies and the extent to which cost inflation impacts oil production. Liquids’ output in the OECD is expected to increase by 1.5 mb/d y-o-y in 2023, mainly on the back of production increases in the US, Norway and Canada. US crude oil and condensate production is anticipated to grow by 0.7 mb/d, with NGLs and biofuel production also expected to rise. In the US, the oil rig count has rebounded from 490 units in January 2022 to 591 units in the last week of April 2023. Moreover, US core oil frac operations continue to stay above 1,000, on a monthly basis. Canadian oil production, particularly Alberta’s oil sands, is forecast to grow by 0.2 mb/d y-o-y in 2023. Production growth in the North Sea and OECD Europe countries is also projected at around 0.2 mb/d, mainly supported by the ramp-up of the second phase of Norway’s Johan Sverdrup field development.
In the non-OECD region, Latin America is forecast to be the key driver for liquids supply. Output in the region is set to increase by 0.4 mb/d y-o-y in 2023, mainly from five offshore startups in Brazil and stable production at the Liza FPSOs in Guyana. Liquids output in Kazakhstan and China is also expected to rise y-o-y, by around 110 tb/d and 70 tb/d, respectively.
Uncertainties to the forecast remain large, especially given ongoing geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe. Moreover, high inflation levels, coupled with supply chain issues and monetary tightening by major central banks may also impact the cost of oil production and upstream sector investment levels. Given the uncertainties ahead, OPEC Member Countries and countries participating in the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC) will continue to closely monitor market developments over the remainder of the year, to help safeguard a stable and balanced market for the benefit of both consumers and producers.
Source: OPEC
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Monday, 17 July 23
APPROVED AMMONIA-FUELED CONTAINERSHIP - BENEFITS AND RISKS: REED SMITH
Following the news in Offshore Energy that Korea Maritime Consultants has secured approval in principle from the American Bureau of Shipping for it ...
Friday, 14 July 23
CLEAN COAL USE KEY TO DEEP CUTS IN EMISSIONS, STABLE ELECTRICITY SUPPLY - CHINA DAILY
China must push for the clean use of coal and step up integration of the dirty fuel with carbon capture, utilization and storage to achieve sustain ...
Thursday, 13 July 23
VIETNAM'S COAL EMISSIONS PRIMED FOR SURGE AFTER IMPORTS JUMP - REUTERS
Vietnam’s thermal power emissions are primed for a steep climb this summer after the country’s imports of thermal coal soared to their ...
Monday, 26 June 23
COAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION UP IN 2022 - EUROSTAT
In 2022, EU coal production and consumption continued to increase, reaching 349 million tonnes (+5% compared with the previous year) and 454 millio ...
Wednesday, 21 June 23
QATAR STRIKES SECOND BIG LNG SUPPLY DEAL WITH CHINA - REUTERS
Qatar on Tuesday secured its second large gas supply deal with a Chinese state-controlled company in less than a year, putting Asia clearly ahead i ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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