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Saturday, 20 May 23
NON-OPEC OIL SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT - OPEC
 In 2022, non-OPEC supply is estimated to have increased by 1.9 mb/d y-o-y. Out of this, US liquids production increased by 1.2 mb/d, mainly on the back of light tight oil production and increased NGLs output from non-conventional basins. US light tight crude production increased by 0.5 mb/d, with the Permian constituting the main source of growth, increasing by 0.6 mb/d, supported by a relatively lower breakeven price and higher drilling rig activities, while output in the Bakken and Eagle Ford declined. Liquids supply in Russia rose by around 230 tb/d. Canada, Guyana, China, Brazil and Oman also contributed to production growth in 2022. These developments were partially offset by supply declines totalling around 0.5 mb/d, mainly from Norway, Thailand and the UK.
Capital spending for oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) in non-OPEC countries increased by US$72 bn y-o-y in 2022 to US$431 bn. It is expected to rise by around 10% y-o-y in 2023. On a country level, E&P spending for 2023 is forecast to increase in Norway, Brazil, the US and Canada by 26%, 15%, 12%, and 8%, y-o-y, respectively. The year 2022 proved to be an extraordinary period for the energy market, with most oil and gas companies witnessing healthy profits. However, the ratio of investment to cash from operations was exceedingly low, since many international oil companies continue to focus on capital discipline to improve their balance sheets. Overall investment levels for non-OPEC supply in 2023 are expected to be just above pre-pandemic levels. However, this is still significantly below the high of US$747 bn in 2014.
For 2023, non-OPEC liquids supply is forecast to grow by 1.4 mb/d y-o-y. There remains substantial uncertainty, however, regarding geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe and the potential impact on Russian oil supply. Moreover, US liquids supply developments will continue to hinge on the degree of capital discipline employed by companies and the extent to which cost inflation impacts oil production. Liquids’ output in the OECD is expected to increase by 1.5 mb/d y-o-y in 2023, mainly on the back of production increases in the US, Norway and Canada. US crude oil and condensate production is anticipated to grow by 0.7 mb/d, with NGLs and biofuel production also expected to rise. In the US, the oil rig count has rebounded from 490 units in January 2022 to 591 units in the last week of April 2023. Moreover, US core oil frac operations continue to stay above 1,000, on a monthly basis. Canadian oil production, particularly Alberta’s oil sands, is forecast to grow by 0.2 mb/d y-o-y in 2023. Production growth in the North Sea and OECD Europe countries is also projected at around 0.2 mb/d, mainly supported by the ramp-up of the second phase of Norway’s Johan Sverdrup field development.
In the non-OECD region, Latin America is forecast to be the key driver for liquids supply. Output in the region is set to increase by 0.4 mb/d y-o-y in 2023, mainly from five offshore startups in Brazil and stable production at the Liza FPSOs in Guyana. Liquids output in Kazakhstan and China is also expected to rise y-o-y, by around 110 tb/d and 70 tb/d, respectively.
Uncertainties to the forecast remain large, especially given ongoing geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe. Moreover, high inflation levels, coupled with supply chain issues and monetary tightening by major central banks may also impact the cost of oil production and upstream sector investment levels. Given the uncertainties ahead, OPEC Member Countries and countries participating in the Declaration of Cooperation (DoC) will continue to closely monitor market developments over the remainder of the year, to help safeguard a stable and balanced market for the benefit of both consumers and producers.
Source: OPEC
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Thursday, 09 November 23
GREEK AND CHINESE COMPANIES OWN 34% OF THE GLOBAL FLEET’S CARGO CAPACITY - BIMCO
“The global fleet of cargo carrying ships consists of around 61,000 ships with a deadweight capacity of about 2,200 million tonnes. The ships ...
Monday, 23 October 23
CHINA SEPT COAL OUTPUT HITS SIX-MONTH HIGH ON RISING POWER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s September coal output rose 0.4% from August to the highest level since March, official data showed on Wednesday, on rising power dema ...
Monday, 23 October 23
INDIA COAL INVENTORIES DROP AT FASTEST PACE IN TWO YEARS, BOOSTING IMPORTS - REUTERS
Coal inventories at Indian power plants in the first half of October fell at their fastest rate in two years, an analysis of government data showed ...
Tuesday, 19 September 23
LNG SHIPPING STOCKS: THE ASIAN GROWTH UP-INDICES
Last week, the UP World LNG Shipping Index (UPI) gained 3.81 points or 2.51%, closing at 155.85 points. This index tracks the performance of LNG sh ...
Sunday, 10 September 23
GOLDMAN SACHS PREDICTS OIL PRICE TO HIT $100 ON OPEC CUTS - YAHOO FINANCE
Oil supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia could lead to Brent crude jumping as high as $107 a barrel in 2024, Goldman Sachs Commodities Research h ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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