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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 13 February 24
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NATURAL GAS SPOT PRICE IN 2024 AND 2025? EIA
We expect the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average higher in 2024 and 2025 than in 2023, but to remain lower than $3.00 per m ...
Monday, 12 February 24
US THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HIT 5-YEAR HIGHS AND TOP $5 BLN IN 2023 - REUTERS
United States exporters of thermal coal earned more than $5 billion in 2023 as they shipped out more than 32.5 million metric tons of the high-poll ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
NEW E-FUELS PROJECT TO MAKE INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING CLIMATE-NEUTRAL - RINA
Transport and trade on the ocean blue must be made much greener. This is the goal of the new €17 million European GAMMA project, where compani ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA SEES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT UP 10.9% IN 2024/25 - REUTERS
India expects domestic coal output to increase by 10.9% to 1.13 billion metric tons in the fiscal year ending March 2025, a senior government offic ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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