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Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia’s latest invasion, the outcome of the war appears to be unclear. The Russian military seems incapable of taking either Kyiv or occupying major territories of the country. Ukrainian forces have gained success and could well continue to make progress in regaining field. The war also could settle into a more protract conflict, with neither side capable of making a decisive breakthrough in the near future.
In the past June, European Union decided to ban both seaborne imports of Russian oil and the provision of specific services derived from Russian oil shipments, in particular insurance and reinsurance industries which EU companies do dominate. The US authorities, which had already banned direct imports of Russian oil, shudder at the ban which would cause oil prices to spike by plunging most Russian exports.
Accordingly, States of great sovereignty, strived towards the tool of capping the price of Russian oil, aimed at pinching Russia’s reserves whilst avoiding a spike in oil prices. However, the mechanism’s high price ceiling and its inability to compel Russia’s affairs with Asia-top tier- customers, undermine its ability to deprive Moscow of substantial revenue and aggravate both political and economic issues against Ukraine.
When the West announced on December 2nd, that they had agreed on a $60 price cap on Russian oil exports, they proclaim it as a valiant achievement in energy stability. But one who thinks this would be a significant tap into Russian oil revenues—and the administration’s ability to fuel its war by bringing to heel Ukraine—was likely to be disappointed. The price cap agreed on by the European Union and quickly endorsed by the United States, G7, and Australia was not bold enough to significantly have an effect on Russian revenues or hamper the conduct of the war. After all, Russian oil has sold at prices in the $60 range for the last several years. Moreover, since Russia’s February invasion of Ukraine, global trades have already limited their offtake of Russian crude to some extent. When countries such as India and China snapped up the surplus, they negotiated steep discounts while the discount for Urals crude, the main Russian benchmark—nearly $40 per barrel compared with Brent oil in the early months of the war—slowly dropped into the low $20 per barrel range, allowing Moscow to continue thriving.
If the price cap starts to influence Russia, it could create political space for further actions by throbbing Russian energy revenues. This cap should not be considered as an off energy policy tool- if Russia continues to wage its war, hence same should be seen instead as an interim measure until the next set of energy restrictions are to be imposed, including a lower price cap level.
By Alexandros Christakoudis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 March 24
INDONESIA APPROVES 922.14 MLN T COAL PRODUCTION QUOTA FOR 2024, ABOVE TARGET - REUTERS
Indonesia has approved coal production quotas totalling 922.14 million metric tons for 2024, Bambang Suswantono, a senior official at the mining mi ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CHINA COAL INDUSTRY GROUP EXPECTS OUTPUT GROWTH TO SLOW IN 2024 - REUTERS
China’s coal output is expected to increase 36 million metric tons, or 0.8%, to about 4.7 billion tonnes in 2024, a Chinese coal industry gro ...
Monday, 18 March 24
THREE KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM OUR EUROPE GAS MARKETS SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK Q1 2024 - WOOD MACKENZIE
European gas prices are currently back to pre-crisis levels, but with a complex series of factors affecting future supply and demand, are they set ...
Wednesday, 06 March 24
INDONESIA AIMS TO FINISH MINING OUTPUT QUOTAS APPROVAL BY END-MARCH, OFFICIAL SAYS - REUTERS
Indonesia’s has approved the mining production quotarequests from more than 120mineral companies and aims to complete the approval process th ...
Monday, 04 March 24
IS YOUR GUARANTEE A GUARANTEE? NOTE TO SHIPOWNERS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The law of guarantees is not always obvious or easy to understand without proper guidance. This article clarifies the dif ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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