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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Sunday, 10 September 23
CHINA AUGUST COAL IMPORTS OF 44.3 MLN T HIT RECORD - REUTERS
China, the world’s top coal consumer, imported 44.3 million metric tons of the fuel last month, customs data showed, the highest amount in an ...
Tuesday, 22 August 23
CHINA'S COAL PRODUCTION LOGS STEADY GROWTH IN JANUARY-JULY: XINHUA
China’s output of raw coal went up 3.6 percent year on year in the first seven months of this year, official data showed.
The ...
Sunday, 13 August 23
THE COMMODITIES FEED: LNG SUPPLY RISKS LINGER - ING
Energy – OPEC sees deficit over remainder of 2023
Oil prices came under some pressure yesterday with ICE Brent settling a litt ...
Wednesday, 09 August 23
COAL TRADE TO RETURN TO 2019 LEVELS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The International Energy Agency’s mid-year Coal Market Update for 2023 brings both positive and concerning news for the global coal industry. ...
Sunday, 23 July 23
ANALYSIS-INDIA'S COAL MINING BET STUMBLES AS WARY BANKS WEIGH RISING RISKS - REUTERS
India’s drive to ramp up coal output to meet growing energy demand is faltering due to banks’ reluctance to finance newly auctioned min ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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