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Monday, 10 October 22
ENERGY TRANSITION BOOSTS GLOBAL LONG-TERM DEMAND FOR METALS - FITCH RATINGS
 The energy transition will significantly increase demand for metals used in manufacturing of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable power generation facilities, such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium, Fitch Ratings says. This will require a vast supply response in the next two decades and investments from miners, although we view the repositioning of their businesses towards a higher share of energy-transition metals in revenue and cash flows as credit positive.
EVs and renewable generation are more metal-intensive than fossil fuel-based alternatives. This will support metals demand as the world transitions towards a carbon-free economy, leading to a six-fold increase in demand for minerals by 2050 compared to current levels, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Growth rates for each metal will vary and will depend on technologies chosen for batteries and power generation and environmental policies. We anticipate demand for energy-transition metals to peak by the 2040s, when the bulk of low-emission infrastructure will have been built.
However, rapid demand growth may not necessarily be met with an equivalent supply-side response. We estimate the level of available resources to be sufficient, but mineral resources are often geographically concentrated and their extraction may be subject to challenges. Mining projects have long lead times and require large investments. Lead times from resource discovery to production average 17 years, including 12.5 years from discovery to feasibility and 4.5 years for planning and construction, according to the IEA. Copper, cobalt and nickel projects have the longest lead times. By comparison, lithium deposits have shorter lead times, of about seven years.
CRU estimates that most markets for energy-transition metals will remain balanced over the medium term as committed and probable projects come online. Supply gaps might emerge after 2025, as the pipeline of new projects is not yet synchronised with the expected rise in demand created by the energy transition.
The commissioning of new projects will depend, along with the estimates of demand and return on investments, on the availability of funds for large capex projects, either internally generated or borrowed. The financial discipline of most miners has improved over the past decade, providing sufficient financial headroom for future investments. However, a prolonged period of low commodity prices might result in delayed investment decisions.
We view the exposure to energy-transition metals among Fitch-rated miners as credit positive. Several mining companies’ credit profiles, including that of Anglo American, have benefited from a growing share of these metals.
However, market participants now expect miners to deliver increasing volumes of metals required for the energy transition without compromising ESG standards. The key challenge is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the metal value chain. Emissions intensity of cobalt, aluminium and nickel mining and processing is high, so skyrocketing demand may result in rising net carbon footprints.
Electricity generation is the largest source of emissions in metals production, and therefore decarbonisation of power sources through shifting from coal to renewables will help reduce emissions. Changes in production technologies and increased metal recycling will cut carbon intensity further.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Thursday, 13 October 22
OPEC DOWNGRADES CRUDE OIL DEMAND, AS WORLD ECONOMY ENTERS SLOWDOWN
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket (ORB) declined m-o-m by $6.58 in September, or 6.5%, to average $95.32/b. Pressure from equ ...
Wednesday, 12 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2022 has been remarkable.
Focusing only on Tankers and Bulkers, such v ...
Monday, 10 October 22
GLOBAL CEOS EXPECT IMPENDING RECESSION TO BE 'SHORT AND SHARP,' POLL SHOWS - CNBC
Global CEOs are anticipating a recession in the next 12 months, according to a new survey by professional services firm KPMG, which said more than ...
Thursday, 06 October 22
AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCES REVENUE TO HIT RECORD AMID UKRAINE CONFLICT - REUTERS
Australian resources and energy export earnings are forecast to jump 7% to a record A$450 billion ($290 billion) this fiscal year, bolstered by soa ...
Thursday, 06 October 22
COAL INDIA ASKED TO ENHANCE SUPPLY TO THERMAL POWER PLANTS - IANS
With the festival season round the corner, Coal India Ltd. has been directed by the government to scale up dispatch to thermal power plants.
&n ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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