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Tuesday, 23 August 22
HIGH COAL PRICES COULD BOOST INDONESIA'S ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
 Global coal prices have reached an all-time high as countries stop purchasing Russian coal amidst the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Indonesian coal companies have become one of the biggest beneficiaries of this change, with eight companies reporting high realized coal prices, net profits and operating cash flows for 2021 and 1Q22.
These coal companies are not expanding coal capacity, with one or two exceptions, capital expenditure (capex) is mainly for maintenance and there are moves towards non-coal projects. The major exception is the dimethyl ether (DME) project announced by state-owned coal miner PTBA (Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam), but the projects face uncertain financial returns and funding as IEEFA reported in 2020.
In this report, IEEFA highlights that coal prices will likely stay elevated given conflict-induced changes to trade flows. Due to disruptions in shipping schedules, Korea and Japan are likely to buy less Russian coal and substitute with coal from Indonesia and Australia, hence coal prices are likely to stay high.
In the longer term, the new trade flows will likely require time to adjust even following conflict resolution. Therefore, coal prices will be supported during this adjustment process.
Moreover, even if China ends its unofficial ban on imports of Australian coal, it is unlikely to help ease supply pressure. This is because there are already existing buyers for Australian coal since the ban was implemented. Its higher prices could make it likely to be priced out of the Chinese market.
IEEFA’s deep dive into the Indonesian coal sector finds that the eight companies are not reinvesting into new coal capacity. However, two have plans to acquire a new mine (ABM Investama) or build up downstream capacity (PTBA), while taking the opportunity to repay debt.
While this is not surprising, considering the 185 global financial institutions which have clearly stated that they will no longer support coal or coal power plant financing, a lack of new coal supply may mean coal prices continue to stay elevated, putting the onus of energy transition on potential buyers.
In the event that there is conflict resolution, coupled with the EU’s commitment to decarbonize, coal prices are likely to normalize from current levels longer term. Coal companies should not miss the opportunity now to diversify away from coal before the cost to transition gets higher.
- Ghee Peh -
Ghee Peh
Ghee Peh is an energy finance analyst with a focus on the Asian coal industry and South East Asia. Ghee has worked on major mining IPOs in Hong Kong and Indonesia including coal, copper and gold companies and has a deep interest in commodity markets.
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Saturday, 06 August 22
SUMITOMO Q1 PROFIT RISES 45% ON STRONGER PRICES OF COAL, NICKEL - REUTERS
Japanese trading house Sumitomo Corp 8053.T said on Wednesday its net profit for the April-June quarter rose 45% to a record thanks to higher price ...
Saturday, 06 August 22
GERMANY'S ENERGY U-TURN: COAL INSTEAD OF GAS - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Berlin has realized it will never again import as much energy from Russia as before the Ukraine war. So the challenge is to wean Germany off its de ...
Saturday, 30 July 22
NUANCES OF FORCE MAJEURE CLAUSE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Knowledge to Elevate
In NKD Maritime Limited v. Bart Maritime (No 2) Inc (Shagang Giant) [2022] EWHC 1615 (Comm), Bart Maritime (No 2) Inc (th ...
Saturday, 30 July 22
AEMO URGES QUICKER SHIFT TO RENEWABLES AMID COAL FAILURES AND SOARING FOSSIL FUEL COSTS
The Australian Energy Market Operator has called for an accelerated shift to wind and solar, backed up by batteries and other storage, as a devasta ...
Friday, 29 July 22
GLENCORE TO SUPPLY COAL TO NIPPON STEEL AT $375 PER TON - BLOOMBERG
Glencore Plc, agreed to supply coal to Nippon Steel at one of the highest prices ever paid by the Japan Bloomberg reported on July 27.
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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