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Wednesday, 29 June 22
CHINA'S NEW PLAN FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT FOCUSES ON CONSUMPTION - FITCH RATINGS
 China’s focus on consumption penetration for renewable energy development in its recently released 14th five-year plan – 2021 to 2025 – rather than capacity installations, should add flexibility in adding installations and alleviate curtailment risk, says Fitch Ratings.
China targets for renewables to supply 33% to national power consumption by 2025, and for non-hydro renewables to contribute 18%; the two consumption quota targets are 4.3pp and 3.6pp higher than 2021 levels, respectively. Correspondingly, China expects to increase annual renewable generation to 3,300 terawatt hours by 2025, implying a CAGR of 7%-8% in the next four years.
The 14th five-year plan does not specify a target for renewable power capacity, unlike previous plans. This should allow for more flexibility on annual capacity additions in 2022-2025, which can instead be driven by power demand growth and the power system’s ability to consume the newly added installations.
Such flexibility in capacity installations should also alleviate curtailment risk from oversupply, supported by the fast development of storage systems, combined with the well-planned locations of new projects, including at large renewable bases that will contribute the majority of new installations under the plan. Most renewable bases will be located at load centres, such as Hebei and Shandong, or in desert and deserted areas, including those in Inner Mongolia and Gansu, where land is cheaper, renewable resources are abundant and UHV lines – which transmit power intra-provincially to specific load centres – are established or will become available.
New projects with grid offtakes can sell pre-agreed volume at fixed prices, but the amount of renewable power generated in excess of the offtake volume and projects without grid offtakes will be traded in the market. The 14th five-year plan encourages renewable generation companies and end-users to enter long-term contracts. Trading premiums are likely to occur in coastal regions, where renewable resources are limited, but demand for green energy is increasingly robust, while renewable power produced in provinces with excess supply may be traded at a discount.
Fitch Ratings, China also expects stronger enforceability of the 14th five year plan, which was released by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China’s central regulator, jointly with eight central-government bodies, including the Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Natural Resources, Ministry of Housing and Rural-Urban Development and Ministry of Ecology and Environment, which are responsible for approving and facilitating the development of renewable projects or monitoring the consumption levels. Previous plans were normally introduced by NDRC alone.
Fitch further expects China to maintain strong renewable installation growth, despite the lack of capacity targets specified for end-2025. We estimate that China is likely to boost annual wind and solar power capacity by 100-110 gigawatts (GW) on average, assuming national power demand grows at a CAGR of 4.7% in the next four years. Our estimated capacity additions are comparable with the 103GW installed in 2021, but below the 2020 peak of 120GW. However, provincial and corporate level end-2025 targets, if added, suggest faster capacity additions. We thus expect capex and leverage at most state-owned power generation companies to stay high over the medium term.
For the first time, the five-year plan sets goals on the usage of non-power renewable energy, such as heating by solar, geothermal and biomass. This may encourage favourable policies on integrated energy and support the earnings of city-gas operators and national oil companies, which are becoming active in developing non-carbon energy businesses.
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Wednesday, 21 June 23
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA RECOVER TO PRE-BAN LEVELS - REUTERS
Australian coal sales to China increased in May, as trade resumed between them even as overall coal demand weakened against an uncertain macroecono ...
Monday, 19 June 23
DROUGHT-DEPLETED HYDROPOWER DRIVES CHINA TO TURN TO COAL - REUTERS
China has leant hard on coal-fired power plants as well as wind and solar generators to make up for a shortfall in hydroelectric generation as a re ...
Monday, 19 June 23
CHINA COAL OUTPUT UP 4.2 PCT IN MAY - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output posted steady growth in May, official data showed.
The country produced 390 million tonnes of raw coal ...
Wednesday, 24 May 23
AMMONIA-FUELLED BULK CARRIERS WITHIN FIVE YEARS - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Within five years, ships powered by clean ammonia could be a feature on the iron ore trade routes between West Australia and East Asia.
A study ...
Tuesday, 23 May 23
CHINA'S APRIL COAL OUTPUT LEAPS 11% ON YEAR, BUT DEMAND DOWNTURN LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in April jumped 11% from the same month a year earlier, boosted by Beijing’s order to increase supply to ensu ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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