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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 September 21
KOMIPO TO BUY 1.56 MILLION TONS OF 5600 NAR COAL OF AUSTRALIA OR SOUTH AFRICAN ORIGIN FOR 2022 - 2024
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
Wednesday, 01 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the summer season is coming to an end, the dry bulk market continues to rally. The confidence that the outstanding freight market performance ha ...
Monday, 30 August 21
68% OF U.S. COAL FLEET RETIREMENTS SINCE 2011 WERE PLANTS FUELED BY BITUMINOUS COAL - EIA
In 2011, the United States had 317.6 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired electric generation capacity. About 88.7 GW of that capacity was retired in the d ...
Friday, 27 August 21
ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT COAL'S MASSIVE RALLY AND NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK - CNBCTV18
Australia’s thermal coal at Newcastle Port, the benchmark for the vast Asian market, has surged over 100 percent this year to trade above $16 ...
Friday, 27 August 21
THE ECONOMICS OF INDONESIA’S DIESEL POWER PLANT TO GAS CONVERSION PLAN ARE PROBLEMATIC - IEEFA
Deploying new small-scale LNG is an uphill battle for PGN
Indonesian gas is currently in a precarious position, where the government needs to ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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