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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the conte ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER SUMMONS COAL PRODUCERS; LONG-TERM PRICING MECHANISM IS ADVISED - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said on Monday that they summoned coal producers for a hea ...
Tuesday, 30 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES PLUNGE AFTER GOVT SIGNALS MORE PRICE REGULATION - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures dropped 5.6% on Monday after the state economic planner signaled further regulations for prices of the dirty pow ...
Friday, 26 November 21
AS COAL MARKET STABILIZES, CHINA STEPS UP NATURAL GAS SUPPLY TO MEET WINTER DEMAND - GLOBAL TIMES
The daily supply of natural gas in China has exceeded 1 billion cubic meters (bcm) since November began, up 11 percent year-on-year, data from stat ...
Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
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- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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