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Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels were noticed back in February 2021.
BDI started to deflate after reaching the highest level since 2008 during the first week of October 2021. An uptick in the index was observed during the first week of December, but the downward trend resumed thereafter and was exacerbated after the world’s largest thermal coal exporter, Indonesia imposed a coal export ban on the first day of the new year for the month of January. The index dropped to 1,644 today, representing a -71% decrease to the Q4 peak, dropping below the levels seen during the 2nd half of January 2021, mainly due to underperformance of the Capesize market.
In detail, starting from the Handysize index (BHSI) and comparing January 2022 to January 2021, we stand at higher levels with the index at 1,162 points as of today, +78% y-o-y. The Supramax index also stands +68% above last year’s levels currently at 1,840, while the Panamax index stands +37% above last year at 2,223. Lastly, the BCI is the only index currently performing lower compared to last year, settling today at 1,316 -54% below the same period last year.
This is the seasonally low quarter for the dry bulk market, during which Capesize exhibits the lowest relative performance due to its big dependence on iron ore flows, which are underperform during this time of year. An increase in vessels’ supply in the Pacific due to the Indonesian coal export ban has cannibalized earnings in the basin for all sizes, with the largest hit the most due to underperforming iron ore flows to which it largely depends. However, our lead analyst views current market conditions as a buying opportunity for the sector, which is expected to resume its upward trend during the second quarter of this year, with the geared segment likely to outperform during 1H 2022.
For the time being, with the Chinese New Year in less than two weeks from now and the Winter Olympics following, one could say that shipowners are temporizing their movements until the market shows its real potential, hence the number of deals in the dry SnP side is limited these days. YTD 2022 we have observed approx. 16 deals, and although we are halfway through the month, the trend lags by approx. 4 times the deals observed during full January 2021, when the market had shown signs of a countercyclical freight increase emerging, which finally led to a quarter that had defied seasonality.
By Mohamed Rabie,
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 11 December 21
BUNKER BUYERS LOSE UP TO $5/MT FOR NOT COVERING ENOUGH SUPPLIERS - INTEGR8 FUELS
With the Brent price recently touching the $80 mark and before the Omicron variant concerns pushed it lower, bunker prices reached levels not seen ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
SUPERCYCLE DEMAND: ARE WE THERE YET? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Taking young children on a long journey is fraught with challenges, not least the inevitable question a few minutes after leaving: are we there yet ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL WOULD REMAIN ENERGY LEADER FOR AT LEAST 15 YEARS - LIVEMINT
Coal India Ltd (CIL) has been in the eye of the storm after fuel stocks at coal-fuelled power plants depleted in October. Fuel stocks since are bei ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
GLOBAL SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE FROM POSITIVE ON THE BACK OF PEAKING EARNINGS DURING 2021 - MOODY'S
The outlook for the global shipping industry is changed to stable from positive for the next 12 to 18 months due to demand slightly outstripping su ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL FIRMS SEE SHARE PRICES SURGE MONDAY, AFTER GOVERNMENT READJUSTS CONTRACT PRICES - GLOBAL TIMES
Share prices of China’s coal enterprises jumped on Monday on the A-share market following a nationwide adjustment to annual thermal coal pric ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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