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Wednesday, 01 December 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Essentially, anyone involved in the shipping and commodity markets still struggle with commodity supply issues and skyrocketing prices in the context of a strained global supply chain.
This year, labor constraints, supply disruptions as well as high fertilizers costs led to a tight supply of edible oils, with palm oil particularly seeing its price pushed to record high levels two weeks ago, before softening during the current one amid negative cues from the emergence of the new COVID variant spurring volatility across commodities.
A great shortage of plantation workers who have been unable to re-enter the country due to pandemic related issues in Malaysia has lowered palm oil production estimates for 2021 to 18.3 million tons, down from 19.2 million tons in 2020, while although Indonesia’s palm oil output has been relatively flat y-o-y, its exports are expected to halve this year according to the Indonesia Palm Oil Association, due to heavy export levies.
While the Malaysian government, plans a special approval to bring about 30,000 workers back vs a shortage of 70,000 estimated at the beginning of the year by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association, efforts to bring them back will take a while before they reach plantations and start harvesting. A plan which might now be prolonged in the hearing and speculation around omicron variant, the last prompting buyers to begin stockpiling palm oil again.
Palm oil futures in Busra Malaysia have reached back-to-back record highs during the past year, setting the highest on November 18 at MYR (Malaysian Ringgit) 5,446/mt or $1,292.88 ( DEC 21). Industry analysts expect that from March 2022 onwards, production issues in edible oils will ease and post a steep rise after 2 years of supply disruptions. Naturally, a correction on prices is anticipated, however, it is also believed that we have entered a new era of higher price levels that are here to stay.
As far as the freight market is concerned rates for regional voyages to India and China have been moving sideways during the past weeks. On the other hand, FOSFA tonnage, especially on the westbound MR size TC Trip runs enjoyed a good premium, before correcting during mid Nov when the CPP Markets in the FEAST stagnated.
Representative freight rates loading palms oils from South East Asia to:
E.C. India 12-15,000 mtons at 33.00 usd/pmt
W.C. India/Pakistan 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00-37.00 usd/pmt
Mid China 12-15,000 mtons at 35.00 usd/pmt
Rotterdam 40-42,000 mtons at 49-51 usd/pmt
T/C Del Korea-Re-del Cont. 47-51,000 DWT 15,000/16,000 USD/PD (NON ECO ) +2K FOR ECO
Looking forward, there is no sight of supply and prices easing materially until post Q1 of 2022, while inventories will be scarce for the first half of next year. Finally, freight markets are likely to head north alongside a highly anticipated CPP seasonal market recovery during Q1 2022. Hopefully, this time will be more than seasonal, if at all.
By Stelios Kollintzas,
Tanker Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 01 September 21
KOMIPO TO BUY 1.56 MILLION TONS OF 5600 NAR COAL OF AUSTRALIA OR SOUTH AFRICAN ORIGIN FOR 2022 - 2024
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
Wednesday, 01 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the summer season is coming to an end, the dry bulk market continues to rally. The confidence that the outstanding freight market performance ha ...
Monday, 30 August 21
68% OF U.S. COAL FLEET RETIREMENTS SINCE 2011 WERE PLANTS FUELED BY BITUMINOUS COAL - EIA
In 2011, the United States had 317.6 gigawatts (GW) of coal-fired electric generation capacity. About 88.7 GW of that capacity was retired in the d ...
Friday, 27 August 21
ALL YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT COAL'S MASSIVE RALLY AND NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK - CNBCTV18
Australia’s thermal coal at Newcastle Port, the benchmark for the vast Asian market, has surged over 100 percent this year to trade above $16 ...
Friday, 27 August 21
THE ECONOMICS OF INDONESIA’S DIESEL POWER PLANT TO GAS CONVERSION PLAN ARE PROBLEMATIC - IEEFA
Deploying new small-scale LNG is an uphill battle for PGN
Indonesian gas is currently in a precarious position, where the government needs to ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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