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Wednesday, 20 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 IMO 2020, Ballast Water Treatment regulations, Green Recycling, GHG emissions, EEXI, CII, ETS, Fit for 55, Carbon price/levy, the Poseidon Principles are just a handful pieces of evidence that the environmental regulations are not only knocking on the door, but are already inside the shipping house and with the intention to stay for good.
Ship operators and managers, charterers, ship financiers must take good consideration of all the above before making any operational and investment decision; including placing an order for a new-building vessel, which has become the most complex decision to make, given all the new regulations and technologies coming up.
In this radically changing environment, ship financiers need to assist the industry to bear the burden of the enormous cost of the new regulations/technologies and in general the setting up of the new greener landscape. So far, and while claiming that they will incentivize international shipping’s decarbonization, the focus in the immediate future is to finance solely modern/ecofriendly vessels, while older vessels’ access to financing which would need it the most for their environmentally upgrade is constrained by leading banks and left to alternative financing. This bifurcation in lending constitutes an obstacle for ships that don’t already have green credentials to take significant investment steps towards the energy transition requirements.
Obviously, banks are afraid of being left with portfolios of assets that in 3-4 years’ time have a minimum value (being non green assets). On top of this, there is the concern that a two-tier assets market might develop when the new regulations kick in. The one tier being this of the greener ships and the second one being the tier with the older, non-eco ones that may be employed at a discount. This places another risk factor for the banks. The risk of their financing projects not being profitable anymore. In this context, older ships seem to be left with the operational choice of reducing engine power and thus lower speeds as a primary measure to be “emissions compliant”. While the choice split on the speed level between the shipowner and the charterer will largely depend on the prevailing freight market structure i.e. voyages or timecharters that older vessels will be opted to be deployed under, the sure thing is that they will all try to take advantage of it and negotiate the fixing rates.
Will this be the case? Will we have another scrubber – non scrubber dilemma going forward? Will the new regulations, emissions mitigation costs via carbon prices / potential fuel levies, limited financing options (or expensive options through alternative financing) and lesser charter rates increase scrapping considerations in 2-3 years time, given that approx. 23% of the combined bulk tankers and containers fleet is above 15 years of age? Does the market have the luxury of losing even a fraction of this via scrapping considering the freight market upcycle across most shipping sectors leads to increased deadweight requirements? Let’s just have a look at what’s happening nowadays due to elevated port congestion, which has tied up a significant share of the dry bulk and containers fleet creating market inefficiencies that have exercised strong upward pressures on freight rates with container rates at record high levels and dry bulk freight rates at the highest in 13 years.
Therefore, a further fleet supply squeeze creates good chances that younger vessels will benefit from a charter premium compared to their older peers. However, this that does not mean that older vessels will become obsolete. This is something that the banks need to realise and start supporting their clients when it comes to ‘’older’’ vessels’ financings. It goes without saying that the whole shipping value chain needs to adjust to the new greener environment regime. The banks need to support this new and highly expensive venture of their clients not just by not financing older vessels, but also providing real, monetary incentives that will have tangible and meaningful effect to their daily operating costs.
By George Laios,
Deputy CEO
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Saturday, 16 October 21
COAL IS 'KING' AS GAS PRICES SOAR, TOTAL CEO SAYS - AND IT’S BACKFIRING ON CLEANER ENERGY GOALS - CNBC
Surging natural gas prices have led to a jump in coal use, with plants in Europe and Asia firing back up as temperatures decline and the world grap ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
VIETNAM'S COAL-FIRED POWER MAY DOUBLE BY 2030 UNDER DRAFT ENERGY PLAN - REUTERS
Vietnam may double the amount of coal-fired electric generation it installs by 2030 under a draft power development plan submitted to the prime min ...
Friday, 15 October 21
AUSTRALIA'S WHITEHAVEN EXPECTS TO BE DEBT-FREE NEXT YEAR AS COAL PRICES SOAR - REUTERS
Australia’s Whitehaven Coal WHC.AX said on Thursday it expects to be debt-free by early 2022, as thermal coal prices surge to record highs on ...
Friday, 15 October 21
WINTER CHILL KEEPS CHINA'S COAL PRICES HIGH, POWER CRUNCH STOKES INFLATION - REUTERS
China coal prices held near record highs on Thursday as cold weather swept into the country’s north and power plants stocked up on the fuel t ...
Friday, 15 October 21
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND GROWTH DOWNGRADED FOR 2021 DUE TO CHINA - WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released an update of its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that ste ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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