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Wednesday, 20 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 IMO 2020, Ballast Water Treatment regulations, Green Recycling, GHG emissions, EEXI, CII, ETS, Fit for 55, Carbon price/levy, the Poseidon Principles are just a handful pieces of evidence that the environmental regulations are not only knocking on the door, but are already inside the shipping house and with the intention to stay for good.
Ship operators and managers, charterers, ship financiers must take good consideration of all the above before making any operational and investment decision; including placing an order for a new-building vessel, which has become the most complex decision to make, given all the new regulations and technologies coming up.
In this radically changing environment, ship financiers need to assist the industry to bear the burden of the enormous cost of the new regulations/technologies and in general the setting up of the new greener landscape. So far, and while claiming that they will incentivize international shipping’s decarbonization, the focus in the immediate future is to finance solely modern/ecofriendly vessels, while older vessels’ access to financing which would need it the most for their environmentally upgrade is constrained by leading banks and left to alternative financing. This bifurcation in lending constitutes an obstacle for ships that don’t already have green credentials to take significant investment steps towards the energy transition requirements.
Obviously, banks are afraid of being left with portfolios of assets that in 3-4 years’ time have a minimum value (being non green assets). On top of this, there is the concern that a two-tier assets market might develop when the new regulations kick in. The one tier being this of the greener ships and the second one being the tier with the older, non-eco ones that may be employed at a discount. This places another risk factor for the banks. The risk of their financing projects not being profitable anymore. In this context, older ships seem to be left with the operational choice of reducing engine power and thus lower speeds as a primary measure to be “emissions compliant”. While the choice split on the speed level between the shipowner and the charterer will largely depend on the prevailing freight market structure i.e. voyages or timecharters that older vessels will be opted to be deployed under, the sure thing is that they will all try to take advantage of it and negotiate the fixing rates.
Will this be the case? Will we have another scrubber – non scrubber dilemma going forward? Will the new regulations, emissions mitigation costs via carbon prices / potential fuel levies, limited financing options (or expensive options through alternative financing) and lesser charter rates increase scrapping considerations in 2-3 years time, given that approx. 23% of the combined bulk tankers and containers fleet is above 15 years of age? Does the market have the luxury of losing even a fraction of this via scrapping considering the freight market upcycle across most shipping sectors leads to increased deadweight requirements? Let’s just have a look at what’s happening nowadays due to elevated port congestion, which has tied up a significant share of the dry bulk and containers fleet creating market inefficiencies that have exercised strong upward pressures on freight rates with container rates at record high levels and dry bulk freight rates at the highest in 13 years.
Therefore, a further fleet supply squeeze creates good chances that younger vessels will benefit from a charter premium compared to their older peers. However, this that does not mean that older vessels will become obsolete. This is something that the banks need to realise and start supporting their clients when it comes to ‘’older’’ vessels’ financings. It goes without saying that the whole shipping value chain needs to adjust to the new greener environment regime. The banks need to support this new and highly expensive venture of their clients not just by not financing older vessels, but also providing real, monetary incentives that will have tangible and meaningful effect to their daily operating costs.
By George Laios,
Deputy CEO
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA COAL HITS RECORD HIGH AMID TIGHT SUPPLIES - REUTERS
China coal prices hit a record high on Tuesday buoyed by a widening power crunch and cold weather despite Beijing’s efforts to bolster supply ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
SPONGE IRON SECTOR MIGHT REPORT NEGATIVE GROWTH DUE TO COAL CRISIS: SIMA - PTI
The domestic sponge iron industry might report a negative growth in the ongoing December quarter “if the shortage of coal is allowed to conti ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
COAL INDIA, THE FALL GUY FOR POWER CRISIS - INDIA EXPRESS
The post-Covid economic recovery has led to a major increase in the demand for power, both in India and globally. In India, coal-based power plants ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
SOLAR INSTALLATION SURGE PUTS INDIA ON TRACK TO CAP COAL-FIRED POWER AS EARLY AS 2024 - IEEFA
Recent increase in solar power installations could push coal to peak sooner than expected
If India keeps installing solar capacity a ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
DESPITE HIGHER COAL PRICES, U.S. COAL RECOVERY LOOKS WEAK BY MOST MEASURES - IEEFA
U.S. coal sector is locked into a long-term sectoral decline
Coal prices have surged to the highest level in years in the U.S., and have soare ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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