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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 23 September 21
RECORD-HIGH GAS PRICES AFFECT MANY EUROPEAN CORPORATE SECTORS - FITCH RATINGS
Record-high natural gas prices are putting pressure on supply chains of many European corporate sectors, including non-integrated energy suppliers, ...
Wednesday, 22 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The unfolding last week of a trilateral defence pact between the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom (AUKUS) envisages a wide range of col ...
Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA DROP 98.6% AS RESTRICTIONS BITE - BIMCO
In the first seven months of the year Chinese coal imports from Australia have totalled just 780,000 tonnes as Chinese restrictions on Australian c ...
Tuesday, 21 September 21
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT RESUMES GROWTH IN AUGUST - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 0.8 percent year on year to 340 million tonnes last month, official data showed.
The growth rate ...
Wednesday, 15 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the oil price sell off during most of August, partly triggered by oil demand fears amid the delta COVID variant, oil prices have resumed ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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