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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 02 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another busy week in the dry bulk secondhand market; a healthy number of sales reported predominantly from Japanese owners while owner& ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
DECLINE IN COAL EXPORTS ADDS TO NAVAJO-OWNED COMPANY'S PROBLEMS - IEEFA U.S.
Weak demand and low prices are likely creating steep losses for NTEC
U.S. coal exports to Asia—once heralded as the saving gra ...
Thursday, 26 November 20
COAL FINANCING QUICKLY DRYING UP WORLDWIDE - ANALYSTS : REUTERS
Financing for coal projects is drying up at ever increasing rates as more countries target zero carbon emissions amid an energy transition sweeping ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
LIBOR REPLACEMENT AND SHIP FINANCE - WHERE IS IT HEADING? - WFW
The likely replacement of the LIBOR at the end of 2021 creates difficult technical and practical issues for all sectors of business and finance. Th ...
Wednesday, 25 November 20
DRY BULK SHIPPING: CHINA REMAINS THE DRIVING FACTOR, BUT COAL POLICY IS DISRUPTING THE MARKET - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The second half of the year has provided some cheer for the dry bulk market, with all ships in the spot market averaging earnings above the break-e ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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