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Wednesday, 14 July 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In its latest Global Economic Prospects report, the world bank recorded the strongest post-recession global growth in 80 years, but emerging and developing countries continue to fall behind due to shortages of anti-crown vaccines. The bank raised its forecast by 1.5 points to 5.6% for global growth in 2021 with China touching 8.5% and the US at 6.8%.
Europe has been lagging the stimulus momentum of the US, but recently they made a decisive step with the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde advising investors to prepare for a new guidance on monetary support in 10 days and heralded the possibility of new measures for next year to support the eurozone economy after the current bond emergency program expires. Speaking on Bloomberg TV, just days after the ECB raised its inflation target to 2%, Lagarde said there would be some interesting changes.
The West has been a major driver of demand for containers trade so far in 2021. Supply chain bottlenecks have sent shipping costs at record high levels on containers with bulkers following with freight rates reaching more than decade highs. The shortage of raw materials has pushed up prices and importers are raising the cost of goods, fueling fears of an inflationary spiral.
As freight rates have skyrocketed, containers orderbook has increased sharply at approx. 21% of the fleet, the highest level since Q4 2015, while the SnP activity on the sector has increased to the highest level ever recorded for 1H – with more than 300 transactions recorded. Despite the increase in transactions and the 100% to 200% spike in asset values particularly for intermediate TEU units since the beginning of the year, the market consensus is that there is more room to go. Until more vessels’ supply hits the market from 2023 onwards and/ or when current shortages rebalance with demand normalizing, it looks like container owners have an extended runway to take advantage of the upside.
Depending on the trade growth scenario over the next years, fleet additions across shipping sectors are expected to rise accordingly and dictate the pace of asset values evolution amongst other factors.
The BIMCO ICS Seafarer Workforce 2021 report has elaborated on 3 commercial fleet development scenarios, with low, stable and higher growth. In the low growth scenario, there will be an average of 567 ships entering the fleet each year, a significant decrease from the average of 955 ships in the baseline scenario. In a scenario of stable growth, the fleet will grow at a slower pace and is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.75%. If world trade is better, the global fleet is expected to exceed 80,000 ships in 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.75%. BIMCO says the course of the fleet also depends on the course of world trade.
By Zisis Stylianos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tanker S&P is finally back!
For an extended period, Dry bulk & Wet market rates have been diverging, with the SnP deals on each sect ...
Monday, 10 May 21
PAKISTAN: COAL GASIFICATION AND LIQUEFACTION HARMFUL TO ECONOMY - IEEFA
There is no second life for coal
Pakistan’s intention to use coal for power production through gasification and liquefaction technologie ...
Sunday, 09 May 21
HERE'S WHY INVESTORS ARE POURING MONEY INTO COAL, DESPITE ITS BLEAK FUTURE - FORBES
Coal stocks have surged this year – along with the wider energy sector – but experts warn these are likely short-term gains for an indu ...
Sunday, 09 May 21
MAYBANK TO STOP COAL FINANCING - BERNAMA
Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank) will stop financing new coal activities as part of its sustainable agenda.
Currently, coal financing m ...
Saturday, 08 May 21
LNG-TO-POWER INVESTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES RISK EXPOSURE TO $14 BILLION IN STRANDED ASSETS - IEEFA
High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market
The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in th ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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