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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 06 October 21
EUROPEAN COAL FUTURES CLIMB TO 13-YEAR PEAK - REUTERS
European coal futures rose to a 13-year high and physical thermal coal prices were at record highs as rallying gas prices and strong Asian demand f ...
Tuesday, 05 October 21
CAPESIZE MARKET WAS IN A STEEP CLIMB FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
The Capesize market was in a steep climb for most of this week as it reached a pinnacle of $74,786 Wednesday before stalling, regather ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
THE WRITING IS ON THE WALL: AUSTRALIA’S COAL ERA IS OVER - YAHOO!FINANCE
As the fringe of Australian politics strives to pump up the coal industry, facts show that coal production has started its long run decline.
&n ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
SURGING COAL PRICES SPLIT ASIAN BUYERS INTO RICH AND POOR - REUTERS
As seaborne coal in Asia trades at, or near, record highs, there are early signs of demand destruction, especially among price-sensitive buyers suc ...
Wednesday, 29 September 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tanker Asset values have surprised to the upside, despite the downward pressure on the freight market. Tanker rates have been hovering close to the ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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