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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 10 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
We have just entered February, Chinese New Year holidays are about to start and the SnP market for bulkers is so hot as every seller would dream of ...
Tuesday, 09 February 21
SWITCHING COAL PLANTS TO PLN'S BIOMASS COFIRING PLAN IS NO MAGIC BULLET - IEEFA
Implementation risks for Indonesia PLN's switch from coal to biomass cofiring
PLN’s biomass cofiring plan will require not ...
Friday, 05 February 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR FEBRUARY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 87.79 PER TON FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for February 2021 settles at US$ 87.79 per ton FOB vessel. The February reference price is the hig ...
Thursday, 04 February 21
WHY BANGLADESH SHOULDN’T COUNT ON A FOSSIL FUEL FUTURE - IEEFA
Around US$50 billion of LNG projects in Asia at risk of cancellation
Two astonishing figures have circulated in the Asian energy sector in the ...
Wednesday, 03 February 21
INDONESIA TO EXPORT 395 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2021 - ESDM
Data from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources shows that, Indonesia is planning to produce 550 million Ton of coal in 2021 and as of t ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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