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Tuesday, 23 March 21
LOWER WHOLESALE PRICES PUT PRESSURE ON AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RETAILERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Fitch Ratings expects the low wholesale energy prices in the Australian National Energy Market to persist through to 2022, which will affect electricity generators and retailers. This is despite recent agreements to continue operating an aluminium smelter that accounts for around 10% of the State of Victoria's energy demand.
Lower demand due to mild weather and 3,700MW of new renewable generation capacity starting up resulted in average wholesale spot electricity prices falling by 23%-58% in 2020. Fitch expects pricing pressure to persist through to 2022, as more renewable generation comes online, and demand remains subdued. Prices may partially recover in 2023 as the planned closure of AGL's 2,000MW Liddell Coal power plant will remove some generation capacity from the market and as weather conditions normalise.
The lower prices are likely to reduce the earnings of power producers and retailers. Origin Energy Ltd (BBB/Stable) cut its guidance for Energy Markets division EBITDA for the financial year ended 30 June 2021 (FY21) to AUD1.00 billion-1.14 billion (FY20: AUD1.46 billion. AGL Energy Ltd also announced AUD2.7 billion of charges, reflecting onerous contracts primarily related to high-cost wind farm offtake agreements, as well as AUD532 million of impairments to the value of its generation fleet and natural gas assets.
Fitch expects Origin's Energy Markets earnings to fall further in FY22 as the decline in wholesale prices leads to lower retail prices. The Australian Energy Regulator's (AER) draft Default Market Offer (DMO) for the year to 1 July 2021 included price reductions of between 4.6% and 7.9% for residential customers, and 4.1% and 8.5% for small business customers. The regulated DMO acts as a maximum cap that electricity retailers can charge customers, and Fitch expects further reductions in non-regulated market offers, as retailers pass on lower wholesale prices to customers to win or maintain market share.
Fitch expects lower earnings from Origin's Energy Markets division to reduce the headroom available in its rating. Origin typically generates around 16TWh of energy annually from its Eraring coal-fired plant, but the recent price decreases have seen Origin reduce Earring's output due to its relatively high cost compared to market prices. The completion of the 530MW Stockyard Hill wind farm by the end of 2021 should increase Origin's access to lower-cost generation, although this is unlikely to be sufficient to fully offset the fall in retail prices.
Origin's rating incorporates the benefits of cash distributions from its investment in APLNG, which operates a gas liquefaction project. Origin has guided cash receipts of between AUD575 million and AUD675 million in FY21, and Fitch expects receipts to rise in FY22 as oil prices recover. These increased receipts will help partially offset lower energy markets earnings, but larger-than-expected declines in earnings from this segment or lower-than-forecast receipts from APLNG could place pressure on Origin's rating.
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Wednesday, 24 March 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the start of the pandemic, the shipping industry has efficiently responded to ensure the continuity of operations and hence the security of s ...
Tuesday, 23 March 21
SCRUBBER-FITTED SHIPS NEARLY DOUBLE AS FUEL SPREAD SETTLES AT $118 PER MT - PETER SAND
As the lion’s share of the world fleet replaced high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) with low-sulphur fuel oil (LFSO) as a mean of propulsion to be c ...
Tuesday, 23 March 21
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT EDGES UP IN FIRST TWO MONTHS - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 25 percent year on year to 620 million tonnes in the first two months of 2021, official data showed.
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Wednesday, 17 March 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Shipping market players are familiar with the inverse correlation between the freight market and demolition activity i.e. when the market picks up ...
Friday, 12 March 21
INDIA SHOULD FOCUS ON REDUCING COAL POWER GENERATION INSTEAD OF CAPACITY - IEEFA
Nearly half of existing coal power in India is more expensive than new renewable power
To get to its ambitious climate targets, Indi ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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