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Tuesday, 23 March 21
LOWER WHOLESALE PRICES PUT PRESSURE ON AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RETAILERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Fitch Ratings expects the low wholesale energy prices in the Australian National Energy Market to persist through to 2022, which will affect electricity generators and retailers. This is despite recent agreements to continue operating an aluminium smelter that accounts for around 10% of the State of Victoria's energy demand.
Lower demand due to mild weather and 3,700MW of new renewable generation capacity starting up resulted in average wholesale spot electricity prices falling by 23%-58% in 2020. Fitch expects pricing pressure to persist through to 2022, as more renewable generation comes online, and demand remains subdued. Prices may partially recover in 2023 as the planned closure of AGL's 2,000MW Liddell Coal power plant will remove some generation capacity from the market and as weather conditions normalise.
The lower prices are likely to reduce the earnings of power producers and retailers. Origin Energy Ltd (BBB/Stable) cut its guidance for Energy Markets division EBITDA for the financial year ended 30 June 2021 (FY21) to AUD1.00 billion-1.14 billion (FY20: AUD1.46 billion. AGL Energy Ltd also announced AUD2.7 billion of charges, reflecting onerous contracts primarily related to high-cost wind farm offtake agreements, as well as AUD532 million of impairments to the value of its generation fleet and natural gas assets.
Fitch expects Origin's Energy Markets earnings to fall further in FY22 as the decline in wholesale prices leads to lower retail prices. The Australian Energy Regulator's (AER) draft Default Market Offer (DMO) for the year to 1 July 2021 included price reductions of between 4.6% and 7.9% for residential customers, and 4.1% and 8.5% for small business customers. The regulated DMO acts as a maximum cap that electricity retailers can charge customers, and Fitch expects further reductions in non-regulated market offers, as retailers pass on lower wholesale prices to customers to win or maintain market share.
Fitch expects lower earnings from Origin's Energy Markets division to reduce the headroom available in its rating. Origin typically generates around 16TWh of energy annually from its Eraring coal-fired plant, but the recent price decreases have seen Origin reduce Earring's output due to its relatively high cost compared to market prices. The completion of the 530MW Stockyard Hill wind farm by the end of 2021 should increase Origin's access to lower-cost generation, although this is unlikely to be sufficient to fully offset the fall in retail prices.
Origin's rating incorporates the benefits of cash distributions from its investment in APLNG, which operates a gas liquefaction project. Origin has guided cash receipts of between AUD575 million and AUD675 million in FY21, and Fitch expects receipts to rise in FY22 as oil prices recover. These increased receipts will help partially offset lower energy markets earnings, but larger-than-expected declines in earnings from this segment or lower-than-forecast receipts from APLNG could place pressure on Origin's rating.
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Wednesday, 07 April 21
KOMIPO ISSUED A TENDER FOR TOTAL 1,560,000 METRIC TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for total 1,560,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous coal for i ...
Wednesday, 07 April 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the end of the catholic easter, during which the majority of shipping market participants were on holidays, it is interesting to note a f ...
Wednesday, 07 April 21
COAL USED TO GENERATE ELECTRIC POWER IN U.S. WILL INCREASE BY 13 PERCENT TO 495 MMST IN 2021 - EIA
EIA expects U.S. coal production to total 585 MMst in 2021, 46 MMst (9%) more than in 2020. In 2022, EIA expects coal production to grow by an addi ...
Wednesday, 31 March 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.12 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 139.03 points Monday, up 0.12 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 31 March 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Over the past week, the biggest story has been the blockage of the Suez Canal, as a result of the grounding of the container ship Ever Given. At th ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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