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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Wednesday, 03 February 21
INDONESIA TO EXPORT 395 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2021 - ESDM
Data from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources shows that, Indonesia is planning to produce 550 million Ton of coal in 2021 and as of t ...
Wednesday, 03 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
"2020 the year from hell for the entire world, had everything for shipowners. The introduction of the sulphur cap and VLSFO, a Pandemic outbre ...
Tuesday, 02 February 21
WILL THE ELECTRONIC B/L BE FULLY IMPLEMENTED? FIVE POINTS TO CONSIDER - MOL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The trend towards digitization of Bills of Lading (B/L) has begun to attract attention in the trade and shipping industrie ...
Monday, 01 February 21
A 56,000-DWT OPEN MANILA WAS FIXED FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA AT $11,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize routes endured a week of slippage on rates, bringing the market back down to levels seen at the beginning of the month. D ...
Monday, 01 February 21
PAKISTAN: COAL DEMAND EXPECTED TO SPIKE IN 2021 - DAWN
Coal demand is expected to remain upbeat in 2021 as more coal-fired and captive power plants are coming up in the current year.
Acco ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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