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Wednesday, 23 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As we all know, China forges more steel than the rest of the world combined, and even during this unprecedented pandemic, the nation is set to break a nine year record with iron ore imports increasing this year to above one billion tonnes. The outlook on the market price of iron ore is also strong, since apart from the effect of the underlying fundamentals and the current momentum driven by China, as a commodity it is now trading at the highest level since late 2011 up nearly 80% in 2020.
China’s iron ore imports, which are primarily from Australia and Brazil, are playing a significant role in seaborne trade dynamics and the Capesize freight market in particular. Despite the recent tensions between Australia and China and the results of that on coal trade in particular, we expect an intensive demand for both materials during the remainder of the year. Hopefully during the next year as well. In the first and second quarter of the new year, we are all also hoping at the same time for effective vaccines to allow global commerce to restart and return to a certain “new normal, hopefully boosting activity on an even more broader scope across all dry bulk segments.
On the coal trade front, Australia and Indonesia account for 78% of total Chinese imports. Both countries offer short sailing distances to China and the recent escalation of political tensions between China and Australia led to an unofficial ban on Australian coal entering China, which put in force in early November. This has essentially meant that all vessels loaded with Australian coal approaching Chinese ports are now anchored off Chinese ports, some stranded there even for months. Furthermore, it was reported that China recently inked a US$1.5 billion worth of thermal coal deal with Indonesia, which represents a significant volume of Indonesian coal expected to reach China within 2021.
Looking at iron ore demand, the main driver for the Capesize freight market, China's demand is expected to remain high over the next 12 months; although Chinese steelmakers may seek to reduce production slightly should the iron ore prices remain at such a high level that renders many of them unprofitable. Iron ore demand in many other countries of the world is expected to stay below its 2019 level, with a range of steelmakers in Europe and South Asia remaining closed or in a slowdown and not expected to return to production until iron ore prices drop.
China will release its five-year plan for the period 2021-2025 in March next year. The plan is expected to include a renewed focus on infrastructure rollouts and more rapid urbanisation, particularly in central and western China, which will in turn impact steel demand. By that time, in March, we will have a more positive outlook on the Covid-19 situation and more clear insight on the effect of the vaccine on the greater population and its economies. Interesting times ahead of us, let’s see how this will affect seaborne shipping in a new year where we are all expecting a much better landscape.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 May 21
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 43 MMST IN 2021 TOTAL 582 MILLION SHORT TONS - EIA
U.S. energy Information Administration expects U.S. coal production to total 582 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 43 MMst (8%) more than in 2020. ...
Wednesday, 12 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Tanker S&P is finally back!
For an extended period, Dry bulk & Wet market rates have been diverging, with the SnP deals on each sect ...
Monday, 10 May 21
PAKISTAN: COAL GASIFICATION AND LIQUEFACTION HARMFUL TO ECONOMY - IEEFA
There is no second life for coal
Pakistan’s intention to use coal for power production through gasification and liquefaction technologie ...
Sunday, 09 May 21
HERE'S WHY INVESTORS ARE POURING MONEY INTO COAL, DESPITE ITS BLEAK FUTURE - FORBES
Coal stocks have surged this year – along with the wider energy sector – but experts warn these are likely short-term gains for an indu ...
Sunday, 09 May 21
MAYBANK TO STOP COAL FINANCING - BERNAMA
Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank) will stop financing new coal activities as part of its sustainable agenda.
Currently, coal financing m ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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