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Saturday, 31 October 09
PRODUCERS BENEFIT FROM COAL'S TIGHT SUPPLY AND STRONG DEMAND
The Jakarta Post reported that, The outlook for Indonesian coal producers appears promising with strong volume growth coming from both the domestic and export markets.
Despite the delayed completion of the 10,000 megawatts (MW) coal-fired steam power plant (PLTU) program, we expect to see additional electricity capacity starting in the fourth quarter of 2009. PLTU Labuan (2x300 MW) was scheduled to operate its first unit in September 2009 and the second unit by December 2009.
PLTU Rembang (2x315 MW) and Indramayu (2x330 MW) should start to operate by January 2010. As nine out of 10 projects in Java-Bali are now in their construction stages, there should be a total add-on capacity of 6,830 MW by the end of 2010. Six PLTU projects (total capacity162 MW) outside the Java-Bali region have already started the construction stage in the fourth quarter of this year with an additional 5 to follow suit.
The Government of Indonesia has finally approved the coal volume required for the domestic market obligation (DMO) at 75 million tons per year starting from 2010, 10.3 percent higher year-on-year from 68 million tons of domestic consumption estimated for 2009.
The volume set for the DMO would amount to 30 percent of the 2010 total estimate for coal production at 250 million tons or up 8.7 percent year-on-year from the 2009 estimate of 230 million tons (chart 1). PLN itself has signed 20-year coal supply contracts, effective once the PLTUs are operational, amounting to 30m tons per year of low-rank coal.
We foresee that the implementation of the DMO has limited the flexibility for coal producers to aggressively penetrate the export market. On top of that, the government has recently revealed its intention to apply a restriction on export quotas at 150 million tons per year starting from 2010.
The regulations would also require each coal producer to allocate 25 percent of their total coal production for the domestic market, or to face penalties in the form of restrictions on their exports.
We see, however, that this last regulation might not be necessary due to the anticipated increase in the volume of coal production going forward, exceeding the domestic demand requirements.
On a more positive note, the government seems willing to accommodate Indonesian coal producers' wishes for minor interventions in regulating the sales price for coal under the DMO provisions. The sales price will be with reference to the international market price to avoid high spreads between export and domestic pricing.
Based on the Newcastle Index, the year-to-date coal price has averaged US$70.7 per ton. Despite a downward trend since the fourth quarter of 2008, coal prices have been relatively steady throughout 2009.
We believe that the price of coal has found its new equilibrium at current levels, supported by stronger demand for higher energy needs mostly in the South East Asian region. Hence, we now expect the coal price to average US$75/t in 2010.
Government also plans to cut the royalty tax rate (DPHB) on low calorific value coal. The proposed DPHB rate is 9 percent for coal with CV<5,000kcal/kg (vis-*-vis 13.5 percent previously) and 7.5 percent for CV<4,500kcal/kg.
We see that upon implementation, lower royalty rates will mean incentives towards growth expectations in the sector.
Stronger domestic demand starting from 2010 paired with recovery of global demand will provide higher volume support for demand for both thermal and coking coal. In our view India will provide the highest growth in thermal coal demand, boosting imports by about 18% to 40m tons beginning this year, in line with the government's plan to double coal-fired electricity generation capacity by 2017.
Indonesia has also made preparations to start the 10,000 MW program phase II which is scheduled to start in 2012 and to operate by 2014.
We estimate coal-fired power plants will take around 48 percent from the total portion of 9,963 MW. Furthermore, coal supply may not grow at the same pace as demand due to export restrictions set on major coal exporters, such as Vietnam and China to secure their domestic needs.
Supported by the fact that the China government has decided to reduce its export quota by 50 percent from 40 million tons to 20 million tons.
As one of the world's major coal exporters, Indonesia will certainly have the upper hand in the tightening supply of coal.
Source:The Jakarta Post
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Thursday, 19 November 09
THE GOVERNMENT TO GUARANTEE COAL SUPPLIES FOR POWER PLANTS
The government guarantees coal supplies for power plants under a 10,000 MW-capacity power plant construction acceleration program.
Minister of En ...
Thursday, 19 November 09
FAST-TRACK FOCUS ON COAL POWER MAY COST INDONESIA BILLIONS
The Jakartaglobe reported that, As it begins to tap its massive coal reserves to generate cheap electricity, Indonesia may face additional costs of ...
Wednesday, 18 November 09
THAI PTT PLANS COAL MINE INVESTMENT IN INDONESIA
* To conclude Indonesian coal mine buy in 6 months
* Sees coal output jumping to 20 mln tonnes in five years
Reuters reported that, PTT , ...
Wednesday, 18 November 09
ASIA-PACIFIC MINISTERIAL CONFERENCE ON PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS FOR INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
“Building Asia’s Infrastructure”
COALspot.com (Indonesia) Press Release: Infrastructure Asia 2010 is Asia’s premier infra ...
Wednesday, 18 November 09
AMBUJA COAL TENDER PRICES EQUATE TO $61.50/T FOB
Reuters reported that, coal prices achieved by Indian cement maker Gujarat Ambuja in its early November tender equate to $61.50 a tonne FOB Richards ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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