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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The Covid-19 virus spread around the world has obviously impacted the global oil demand while the situation remains fluid. The overall constraint ...
Tuesday, 14 July 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.75 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 126.01 points Monday, up 0.75 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 14 July 20
TURKEY - A CASE OF UNDECLARED BUNKER - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Undeclared/excess bunkers can be considered a criminal act by Turkish customs officials with the ship's crew being ac ...
Monday, 13 July 20
PANAMAX: A TUMULTUOUS WEEK IN THE PANAMAX MARKET ENSURED ALL MARKETS GAINED VALUE ON THE WEEK - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week witnessed the dreaded correction in the Capesize market, with the time charter average shedding almost 18 per cent to close ...
Friday, 10 July 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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