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Friday, 04 September 20
IN A DEEPENING DEBT HOLE OF $34 BILLION, INDONESIA’S PLN MUST STOP DIGGING - IEEFA
The utility has added IDR100 trillion in debt annually for the last five years
Utilities globally started changing the way they do business years ago, but Indonesia’s PLN power company stands out as a laggard, focused on a confused menu of piecemeal generation options rather than holistic planning that provides system-level solutions, finds a new report from IEEFA, the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis.
PLN, alongside utilities worldwide, has suffered a severe drop in revenue as power consumption fell by as much as 20% in some cases amid the COVID-19 pandemic, writes Elrika Hamdi, author of the report Never Waste a Crisis – Indonesia’s PLN Needs A Coherent Strategy to Ride Out the COVID-19 Pandemic.
“But the roots of PLN’s problems are deeper than just the pandemic: PLN’s quiet crisis reflects dysfunctional planning and governance that have put the company into strategic paralysis, unable to change direction or adapt to new market realities,” says Hamdi.
“Despite all the warning signs, senior managers still run the power sector with an old-fashioned business-as-usual mindset. Unfortunately, a 2010 playbook will not save PLN from falling deeper into a modern-day debt trap. Neither will indulging an extractive economy mindset that fosters dependence on fossil fuel, just because it’s there”.
“There has to be a willingness to ask the hard questions when PLN’s ocean of red ink proclaims that PLN’s resource-driven development plans are obsolete in a high-technology world.”
The report notes that much of PLN’s current predicament stems from a plan to add a massive 35 gigawatts of generation capacity to Indonesia’s power supply that was poorly designed and implemented.
“The 35 GW program is a political promise that was meant to embody President Joko Widodo’s (Jokowi’s) ambition to fully electrify Indonesia. There is nothing wrong with the ambition, but the subsequent planning and execution has lacked accountability,” says Hamdi.
“Adding generation capacity has become a goal with little attention paid to long-term financial impacts or new system design options. In the absence of much-needed checks and balances, PLN has been driven to the brink and taxpayers will be left to pay the price.”
“PLN’s ability to sustain debt at this level rests firmly on Indonesia’s investment-grade sovereign credit rating and the government’s readiness to support PLN debtors in the event of financial distress,” says Hamdi, noting that PLN bonds are still relatively attractive to investors because of the company’s monopoly and its quasi-sovereign status.
The author also questions the accountability of government support for PLN. Noting both direct and indirect supports, including subsidies, compensation, capital injections, special accounting treatments and government guarantees, Hamdi says there appears to be little consistent oversight of how government support is used to dress up PLN’s accounting.
“The Ministry of Finance, considering PLN’s strategic importance, makes PLN a top priority, but that does not mean PLN’s financial problems can be effectively addressed by endless access to cheap debt that could eventually threaten Indonesia’s financial credibility,” she concludes.
“The best strategy for PLN would be to rebase their planning framework to focus on more cost-effective grid investments that improve the long-run efficiency of the whole power system. Private sector players cannot invest in the grid and have therefore crowded into the generation sector. This has accentuated PLN’s narrow focus on baseload generation has resulted in excess capacity and a brittle system that lacks flexibility. What’s needed now is a more grid-centric strategy that would permit PLN’s investment to enable a more efficient system. It is crucial for PLN to make sure that the power sector reform is not just cosmetic.”
About IEEFA
The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) conducts global research and analyses on financial and economic issues related to energy and the environment. The Institute’s mission is to accelerate the transition to a diverse, sustainable, and profitable energy economy.
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Wednesday, 21 October 20
INDIA: THE COMMERCIALISATION OF COAL BLOCKS WILL BENEFIT THE ECONOMY - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
As the government of India receives 76 bids for 23 coal mines against the 38 up on auction, what does this commercialisation of coal block allocati ...
Wednesday, 21 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The second wave of COVID-19 is now a reality; offices are closing again, and stricter rules and regulations are being implemented in public spaces. ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.82 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 127.49 points Monday, up 0.82 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
BIMCO 'SHIPLEASE' TERM SHEET - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The ever-growing importance of sale and leaseback transactions as an alternative to financing ships by way of loan, makes ...
Friday, 16 October 20
KOMIPO ON BEHALF OF K GENCO'S INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 715,000 MT MIN. 5,700 NAR COAL FOR DECEMBER
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO has issued an international tender for total 715,000& ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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