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Friday, 04 September 20
IN A DEEPENING DEBT HOLE OF $34 BILLION, INDONESIA’S PLN MUST STOP DIGGING - IEEFA
The utility has added IDR100 trillion in debt annually for the last five years
Utilities globally started changing the way they do business years ago, but Indonesia’s PLN power company stands out as a laggard, focused on a confused menu of piecemeal generation options rather than holistic planning that provides system-level solutions, finds a new report from IEEFA, the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis.
PLN, alongside utilities worldwide, has suffered a severe drop in revenue as power consumption fell by as much as 20% in some cases amid the COVID-19 pandemic, writes Elrika Hamdi, author of the report Never Waste a Crisis – Indonesia’s PLN Needs A Coherent Strategy to Ride Out the COVID-19 Pandemic.
“But the roots of PLN’s problems are deeper than just the pandemic: PLN’s quiet crisis reflects dysfunctional planning and governance that have put the company into strategic paralysis, unable to change direction or adapt to new market realities,” says Hamdi.
“Despite all the warning signs, senior managers still run the power sector with an old-fashioned business-as-usual mindset. Unfortunately, a 2010 playbook will not save PLN from falling deeper into a modern-day debt trap. Neither will indulging an extractive economy mindset that fosters dependence on fossil fuel, just because it’s there”.
“There has to be a willingness to ask the hard questions when PLN’s ocean of red ink proclaims that PLN’s resource-driven development plans are obsolete in a high-technology world.”
The report notes that much of PLN’s current predicament stems from a plan to add a massive 35 gigawatts of generation capacity to Indonesia’s power supply that was poorly designed and implemented.
“The 35 GW program is a political promise that was meant to embody President Joko Widodo’s (Jokowi’s) ambition to fully electrify Indonesia. There is nothing wrong with the ambition, but the subsequent planning and execution has lacked accountability,” says Hamdi.
“Adding generation capacity has become a goal with little attention paid to long-term financial impacts or new system design options. In the absence of much-needed checks and balances, PLN has been driven to the brink and taxpayers will be left to pay the price.”
“PLN’s ability to sustain debt at this level rests firmly on Indonesia’s investment-grade sovereign credit rating and the government’s readiness to support PLN debtors in the event of financial distress,” says Hamdi, noting that PLN bonds are still relatively attractive to investors because of the company’s monopoly and its quasi-sovereign status.
The author also questions the accountability of government support for PLN. Noting both direct and indirect supports, including subsidies, compensation, capital injections, special accounting treatments and government guarantees, Hamdi says there appears to be little consistent oversight of how government support is used to dress up PLN’s accounting.
“The Ministry of Finance, considering PLN’s strategic importance, makes PLN a top priority, but that does not mean PLN’s financial problems can be effectively addressed by endless access to cheap debt that could eventually threaten Indonesia’s financial credibility,” she concludes.
“The best strategy for PLN would be to rebase their planning framework to focus on more cost-effective grid investments that improve the long-run efficiency of the whole power system. Private sector players cannot invest in the grid and have therefore crowded into the generation sector. This has accentuated PLN’s narrow focus on baseload generation has resulted in excess capacity and a brittle system that lacks flexibility. What’s needed now is a more grid-centric strategy that would permit PLN’s investment to enable a more efficient system. It is crucial for PLN to make sure that the power sector reform is not just cosmetic.”
About IEEFA
The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) conducts global research and analyses on financial and economic issues related to energy and the environment. The Institute’s mission is to accelerate the transition to a diverse, sustainable, and profitable energy economy.
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Monday, 02 November 20
PHILIPPINES GOVERNMENT SAYS NO TO NEW COAL PLANT PROPOSALS - IEEFA | 24 PILIPINAS
The Duterte administration will no longer accept proposals to construct new coal power plants, a dramatic shift in energy policy that counts on dec ...
Sunday, 01 November 20
GRADUAL RECOVERY FOR INDONESIAN COAL FROM 4Q20; RISKS REMAIN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects the credit metrics of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors to improve from 4Q20 with the recovery in volumes and price ...
Wednesday, 28 October 20
BIODIESEL - NEW FUELS, NEW CHALLENGES - GARD | DNV GL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
One of numerous possible ways to comply with the IMO’s strategy on the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions ...
Wednesday, 28 October 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.35 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 127.94 points Monday, up 0.35 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 28 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The global strive towards eco-friendliness and environmental sustainability in the shipping industry is mounting. There are currently almost 200 co ...
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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- The University of Queensland
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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