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Thursday, 29 October 09
CURRENCIES, ASIA DEMAND TO LIFT EUROPE COAL PRICE
Supportive currency movements and strong Asian demand mean the price of coal delivered into Europe is poised to rise more than 30 percent to above $100 a tonne by mid-2010. Coal prices fell sharply in September last year from historical highs above $200 a tonne, delivered Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (DES ARA), mostly on fears of a deep and protraced global depression. This year they have remained around $65-$75. Now they are seen likely to rise as they follow gains in "coal currencies" such as the Australian dollar, South African rand and Colombian peso against the U.S. dollar, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch's latest Global Energy Weekly report.
Producers' need to protect margins will compel them to seek dollar-denominated sales prices that fully reflect their costs. This will help push coal prices higher. The coal market will rebalance firmly in 2010 primarily due to demand growth in Asia, which will outstrip demand in the West. The current oversupply will be soaked up very quickly, the Bank of America report says.
Even the most doggedly bearish European utilities, traders and coal producers have in the past two weeks stopped expecting a fall to below $60.00 for DES ARA prices. "The short answer is yes, we expect the worst to be over and prices to increase, even if progressively, going forward," said Emmanuel Fages, Carbon and Coal Analyst at Societe Generale. He said that in the very short-term, however, there was good availability of supply in the thermal coal market. SocGen has lowered its short-term forcasts for cost, insurance and freight prices in Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (CIF ARA) to $73.00 per tonne in the fourth quarter from $82.00 and to $65.00 per tonne for South African Richards Bay coal from $72.00.
In its latest Commodities Review SocGen says coal prices will not fall now but any rise will be limited in the short term due to high stockpiles in Europe and falling Chinese imports. International Energy Agency coal analyst Brian Ricketts said there was even room for coal to ease before rising. "It's not a bottom for prices, it's a plateau which has been reached. There is further for coal to fall," Ricketts said. "If you're optimistic, then the current plateau is a starting point from which prices can rise," he added. One producer source said the direction for European prices now was up. "We really do think European prices will move back above $100 a tonne by June. Prices have hit the bottom and will start to slowly move higher from now," the source said A major European utility source said: "If you look at supply for next year, there will still be tightness and strong Asian demand. It looks very likely that Europe could be under-supplied."
SWING PRODUCERS
South Africa and Russia have acted as swing producers by diverting substantial tonnage to Asia from Europe rather than cutting output. They are likely to continue to do so next year even when European demand is expected to return to normal. At least 23 million tonnes of South African and Russian exports were diverted to India and China from Europe this year. European utilities next year will have to compete with Asian end-users and pay higher prices to secure coal, producers said. Rail capacity constraints mean South African exports for 2010 may recover only slightly from this year's drop to 60 million tonnes out of 80 million tonnes total export capacity. Exports from Russia and Colombia, the two other key suppliers to Europe, stabilised at around 63 million tonnes and are unlikely to rise next year.
If European demand returns to normal by mid-2010 -- it is picking up already in France and Germany -- and exports continue to swing towards Asia, prices must rise, analysts, producers and consumers say. Nobody is predicting a return to 2008's record prices but delivered Europe levels of $100 and free-on-board South Africa, Russia and Australia's Newcastle prices of $70.00-80.00 would allow all producers to sell above their cash costs.
Sourced from Reuters
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Monday, 12 October 09
INDONESIA TO CUT ROYALTIES TO BOOST LOW QUALITY COAL
Reuters reported that, Indonesia, the world's biggest exporter of thermal coal, plans to cut royalties paid by producers holding certain contracts ...
Monday, 12 October 09
SAMPUR COAL POWER PLANT AGREEMENT
Sunday Observer reported that, The construction work of the Sri Lanka-India joint venture coal power plant which costs US dollars 500 million will c ...
Saturday, 10 October 09
SHORT PERIOD RATES FOR SUPRAMAX WAS AROUND US$ 17,000 PER DAY FOR VESSELS OPENING FAR EAST / SE ASIA - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com (Singapore): The BDI again firmed up this week by almost 14 pct to 2,695 points. The cape size index moved up quite sharply by 25 pct t ...
Saturday, 10 October 09
COAL PRICES TIPPED TO SURGE BY 40% AS GLOBAL DEMAND RECOVERS NEXT YEAR
Power-station coal prices may climb by more than 40 percent in 2010 from current levels as a global economic recovery boosts demand from power plant ...
Saturday, 10 October 09
PT BUMI RESOURCES TO EXPECT 2010 ELECTRIC AND COAL PRICE UP TO US$ 100/T
Indonesia coal producer, PT Bumi Resources recently stated that the revival of the global economy pushes up the demand from power plants and steel m ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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