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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 August 20
PEABODY'S $1.42 BILLION WRITE-DOWN CONCEDES COAL MINES HAVE LITTLE VALUE AND DIM FUTURE - IEEFA
Trouble at biggest mine in Powder River Basin speaks volumes about state of industry
Peabody Energy, the world’s largest priva ...
Thursday, 06 August 20
SUPRAMAX MARKET CONTINUED SIDEWAYS TREND, AND LITTLE INSPIRING NEWS APPEAR - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is presently a small correction in rates, but overall levels are up from previous week mainly due to increased demand in the Eas ...
Thursday, 06 August 20
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER INVITING BIDS FOR MIN 3,600-MAX 3,800 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) inviting bids for 80,000 Tons (MT) Min 3,600~Max 3,800 kcal/kg NCV coal f ...
Wednesday, 05 August 20
NO NEW MINING LICENSES - A REMINDER TO GOVERNORS IN INDONESIA - SSEK
Indonesia’s acting Director General of Mining and Coal (“DGMC”) has issued a letter to the country’s provincial Governors t ...
Wednesday, 05 August 20
AUGUST 2020 HBA HITTING ITS LOWEST LEVELS IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference for the month of August plunged 30.73% YoY, hitting its lowest levels in history and highlighting ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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