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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 31 July 20
BOTSWANA PLANS MORE COAL-FIRED POWER AS AFRICAN SOLAR ACCELERATES - IEEFA
An African economic leader like Botswana should embrace solar to reduce subsidies and tariff hikes
As Sub-Saharan solar ambition has ...
Wednesday, 29 July 20
2019 U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FALLS TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 1978 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal production totaled 706 million short tons (MMst), a 7% decrease from the 756 MMst mined in 2018. Last year’s production wa ...
Wednesday, 29 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The dry bulk sector is beginning to recover from reduced SnP activity recorded in the first quarter of 2020. The table below illustrates that appro ...
Tuesday, 28 July 20
DEUTSCHE BANK TO END GLOBAL BUSINESS ACTIVITIES IN COAL MINING BY 2025 - REUTERS
Deutsche Bank, in a revamp of its policies for fossil fuels, said on Monday that it would end business activities worldwide related to coal mining ...
Monday, 27 July 20
IEEFA ENERGY FINANCE CONFERENCE 2020: COAL, LNG, PETROCHEMICAL SECTORS FACE POOR OUTLOOK AND UPHILL BATTLE FOR INVESTORS
Fossil fuel industries were becoming less financially attractive even before the global coronavirus pandemic
Three major fossil fuel ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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