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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 August 20
SHIP SHAPE - OUCH: FIS
Thursday afternoon saw a report that US GDP in Q2 shrank by 32.9%. Now this may have beaten expectations, but it’s a bit like saying that you ...
Saturday, 01 August 20
ASIA HOPE FOR LONG-TERM OIL DEMAND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Oil demand in Asia Pacific might be expected to plunge 1.8m barrels per day (bpd) this year, but there are still strong prospects for growth over t ...
Friday, 31 July 20
SHORT-TERM IMPACT ON THE CHEMICAL SHIPPING MARKET IF THE INDIA-CHINA DISPUTE ESCALATES - DREWRY
Due to the India-China dispute, the threat of deteriorating trade relations between the two countries has become real. Meanwhile, we expect freight ...
Friday, 31 July 20
PANAMAX: THE PERIOD MARKET REMAINS QUIET WITH FEW FIXTURES REPORTED - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
After weeks of dropping rates, there are finally some resistance for the Capes. Pacific rounds improving to upper15,000s by the middle ...
Friday, 31 July 20
PANDEMIC SENDING SOUTH AFRICAN COAL INDUSTRY TO EARLIER GRAVE - IEEFA
Could South Africa’s coal export industry, one of the largest in the world, be about to take a severe hit from the coronavirus?
...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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