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Tuesday, 07 April 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 With the first quarter of 2020 now firmly written in the books, it is worth examining what we have witnessed so far in the tanker market. Undoubtedly it was a very interesting quarter with a significant freight boom taking place earlier in the year, tensions among oil producers creating volatile market conditions and the COVID-19 pandemic reshaping the global economic environment said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in his latest weekly report.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, the truth is that the recent developments as part of the pandemic have affected the whole global economy, diminishing demand for several oil products which in turn has started to show a slight trend in crude oil itself. Looking just at the BDTI index, we can see on absolute terms that the quarterly loss was 12.7%. This is a disappointing figure, Yiannis Vamvakas said, but not devastating especially when it is compared to the dry bulk market, proving that the oil market was able to resist the effects of the global economic downhill that is being witnessed. Adding to this, we noted that both the VLCC and Suezmax TCA have gained 164.4% and 37.7% respectively on a quarterly basis. It seems as though that had it not been for the catastrophic February, things may have been even better for the crude oil tanker segments.
The price war between oil producers has pushed Brent and WTI to record lows, helping demand remain healthy even under the current circumstances, while several tankers have been “taken out” of the global fleet in order to be used as storage. In contrary to all of this, we should note that the Aframax TCA moved in the opposite direction this past quarter, losing about 30.8%. Given that oil price is not expected to move significantly upwards in the coming months (obviously not considering any major shift in production plans of the main oil producers), we are anticipating interest from the charterers’ side to remain intense during the start of the 2nd quarter. Adding to this the glimpse of optimism reflected in the rebound noted in European stock markets on the back of the stabilization seen in the COVID-19 spread, and you could have the basis for a gradual improvement to take place.
Research Analyst of Allied Shipping further noted that, on the supply side, we have seen the global tanker fleet increase by 53 units during 1Q20, with 23 of them being crude oil carriers. This quarterly rise is around 1%, an encouraging figure when compared to the respective fleet expansion of 2.63% noted in 1Q19. On the supply side things remain positive for now, with interest for new-building orders having eased back as of late. However, it is likely that this trend will shift in the near future, as ship recycling activity will now be minimal due to the COVID-19 lockdown measures taken in the Indian Sub-Continent, while at the same time this pause noted in newbuilding activity is expected to be temporary. On the positive side though the orderbook to vintage fleet ratio (a figure that depicts the potential additions compared to potential demolition candidates) holds at fairly good levels. The ratio now holds for the VLCC segment at a mere 13.33%, for the Suezmax 24.00% and for the Aframax 7.89%, the lowest points noted the last 5 years.
Taking into consideration the resilience that crude oil tanker market has shown so far, we anticipate the market to remain on a positive track in the coming quarter, even if there are some signs of volatility emerging. The low-price of oil, the potential that the worst is now behind us and the healthy status of the supply side, all leave space for optimism. However, as we are deliberating on a market that is largely exposed to geo-political events and highly linked to the global economy, it is essential to remember that there could always be another “blank swan” hiding around next turn.
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Wednesday, 06 May 20
KOSPO INVITED COAL BIDS FOR LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 160,000 Metric Tons (MT) Low Calorific Value Coal for J ...
Wednesday, 06 May 20
COST CHALLENGES IN A US$20/BBL WORLD - WOOD MACKENZIE
A new approach is needed to ensure supply sector resilience
How will US$20/bbl affect the oil and gas supply chain?
It’s going to g ...
Wednesday, 06 May 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It comes as no surprise that activity in the dry bulk SnP market remains soft, with asset values caught in the downward spiral generated by the Cov ...
Wednesday, 06 May 20
FLOATING STORAGE OF OIL CARGOES - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Due to a combination of circumstances there is now a worldwide shortage of storage space ashore for both unrefi ...
Wednesday, 06 May 20
IRON ORE TRADE REMAINS REMARKABLY RESILIENT THIS YEAR, AT LEAST IN ASIA - BANCHERO COSTA
Iron ore trade remains remarkably resilient this year, at least in Asia, despite the global economic impact from COVID-19. In the first 4 months of ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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