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Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
 Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between China and the West — and China and the U.S., in particular. However, there are far-reaching effects that have not been contemplated fully beyond the intuitive assessment.
Things move slowly. China has long been known as a country with patience, which in business language translates to longer lead times in the transactional arena, sometimes exhaustive negotiations, and relationships are built over time. Many of these relationships are created in the environment of trade shows, conferences, information exchange platforms, and trade delegations. China has finely tuned this method of cross-border introductions and it is a continuous process.
Combined with this is the growth of the multinational business presence in China. Major retailers, manufacturers, pharmaceuticals, biotech, automotive and other sectors are firmly planted in China with technology and personnel. Now, with the essentially closed border with China, the rest of the world waits and watches. To the business community, this is unsettling, to say the least, because there is no accurate predictor of when a vaccine may be found or when the world threat eradicated. Even when those pronouncements are ultimately made by Beijing there is the inherent distrust of information disseminated by the Chinese government.
So what does all of this mean for cross-border business in the short and long term?
An aerial view reveals that the movement of people and technology and deal closure have simply come to a halt. When the Chinese government, or other governments, or the WHO pronounce that it is safe to travel to China again, that will not be the end of it. There has been a worldwide reaction to the scare. The tradeshow and related cancellations have occurred not only in China but throughout Asia and into Europe. Therefore, a wide swath of activities are upended across all business sectors.
The rate of new cases slowed on Wednesday. As of this writing, there have been more than 45,000 cases of Covid-19 and over 1,100 deaths. Businesses from cruise ships to luxury brands and air travel, as well as global markets like oil, have all been hit. There can be no question that it will be a slow and painful process moving back to normalcy. Professional offices remain closed indefinitely, and 90% of businesses are closed or at dramatically reduced hours. Theaters, factories and others where people congregate are closed.
We are all familiar with the recent comparisons of coronavirus with SARS, but there is no real comparison. SARS was perceived as essentially a Hong Kong-centric event and everyone wondered if that would be the death of the HK economy, coming a few years after the handover. Moreover, social media and its impact on global interaction were just launching, and China’s interaction with the world economy was in its infancy.
Transparency will be the key to short term confidence which will lead to a long-term recovery. This is despite short-term pain and embarrassment. All governments can learn a lesson from this, but Beijing has yet to learn it. It may very well be that Wuhan, as ground zero for the Coronavirus, never recovers. The headlines today paint Wuhan as a pariah city, in a wartime battle and in lockdown. The Chinese Chernobyl. These characterizations will not be easily shed. Wuhan, as the capital of Hubei province, has positioned itself as a foreign investment hub and has developed trade, manufacturing and export and development zones to highlight its growth and position within China. Companies will have to assess whether or not their investments should remain in Wuhan or be moved.
Considering China’s impact on the world economy, China will not be off limits to future investment forever. Instead, there will be wariness and unbridled caution for the foreseeable future. Businesses will seek alternatives to avoid commercial and liability issues.
In the best case, returning to normal is not a reasonable expectation in the short term. In the long term, China must take all steps necessary to demonstrate its commitment to transparency regarding all factors relating to the virus. In today’s economy, there are many alternatives for trade and investment and China must recognize that its global trade partners need regular and repeated reassurances. Additionally, China will need to inject substantial financial incentives into the economy to balance against commercial and optical risks.
In the best of circumstances, this process will take six to nine months to see the way forward to a stable and commercially feasible reintroduction of business, confidence and renewed investment. This will require unrelenting adjustments as events require. There is no single action or vaccine that will erase the impact of the coronavirus. A group of actions are needed to restore the zeal and excitement for consumer, business, investment and tourism.
Anything less will create a lingering atmosphere of caution and distrust.
Source: CNBC
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Thursday, 23 January 20
COAL-BASED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES 95% IN 2019 - PROFIT PAKISTAN TODAY
Coal-based power generation jumped 94.5 percent to 2,030 Gigawatt hours (GWh) in the year to November 2019, taking its share in the country’s ...
Wednesday, 22 January 20
INDIA: COAL PRODUCTION FROM CAPTIVE MINES RAISES 24% OUTPUT IN APRIL TO DECEMBER - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal production from captive mines in the first nine months of the ongoing financial year was up 24% year-on-year (y-o-y) at 40.93 million tonne (M ...
Wednesday, 22 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It seems that we are finally seeing whitish smoke as far as the trade feud between the US and China is concerned, while following this much anticip ...
Tuesday, 21 January 20
IRON ORE - 5 THINGS TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie identifies five trends that will impact the iron ore industry.
Slower demand growth (especially in China) and a decen ...
Tuesday, 21 January 20
ASIA'S APPETITE FOR COAL GROWS, WITH CHINA THE KEY DECIDER - NIKKEI
Although renewable power generation is expected to rise significantly in Asia, India’s vast electricity needs will still underpin global dema ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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