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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
The trade dispute saga continued over the past week, as new tariffs were put into force on Friday in both the U.S. and China and have already taken ...
Tuesday, 10 July 18
SUPPORTING SULPHUR 2020 CONSISTENT IMPLEMENTATION - IMO
An IMO working group is meeting (9-13 July) to develop guidelines to support the consistent implementation of the 0.50% limit for the sulphur conte ...
Monday, 09 July 18
RISING COAL PRICES LIFTING AUSTRALIA'S EXPORT REVENUES BUT INVESTORS STAYING AWAY - NEWCASTLE HERALD
Newcastle coal prices have risen more than 40 per cent in a year to be at their highest levels for seven years but the industry is becoming increas ...
Saturday, 07 July 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN MARKET STRUGGLED; A 57K-DWT WAS REPORTED FIXED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY INDIA AT $12K
Capesize
A punchy week for the big ships that saw Atlantic rates soar, with the tonnage list tight prompting charterers to split cargoes, thoug ...
Friday, 06 July 18
COAL PRICES HAVE REMAINED STRONG BUT ARE SET TO DECLINE - NAB
Coal spot prices have been highly volatile in recent years, with an upward trend since recent lows in April 2018, National Australia Bank says in i ...
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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