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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 28 July 18
GOVERNMENT TO REVOKE COAL PRICE CAP POLICY - JP
The government plans to revise its domestic market obligation (DMO) on coal price next week during a high-level meeting with President Joko “ ...
Thursday, 26 July 18
A SUPRAMAX IS NOW PAID AROUND USD 21,500 FOR LOADING IN THE US GULF WITH DISCHARGE IN THE FAR EAST - FEARNLEYS
Cape
There has been a relatively strong summer period so far, and there is a strong week we have left behind us.
In the Pa ...
Thursday, 26 July 18
ASEAN COAL IMPORTS INCREASED IN 2Q' 18 COMPARED TO THE PRIOR YEAR; THIS TREND TO CONTINUE AS 56 GIGAWATTS OF NEW COAL PLANTS IN 24 COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE ARE EXPECTED TO COME ONLINE IN 2018 - PEABODY
Peabody announced its second quarter 2018 operating results, including revenues of $1.31 billion, income from continuing operations, net of income ...
Wednesday, 25 July 18
COAL MINER BUKIT ASAM'S PROFIT GROWS 50% IN FIRST HALF - JP
Coal miner Bukit Asam announced 50 percent profit growth to Rp 2.58 trillion (US$177.33 million) in the first half of 2018, on the back of a coal-p ...
Wednesday, 25 July 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
We are now into the second half of 2018, which so far has not been a fruitful year for tankers. With 2020 quickly approaching we need to consider t ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
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