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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 September 18
SHIPPING IS INCREASINGLY CAUGHT IN THE TRADE WAR LINE OF CROSSFIRE - PETER SAND
Once again, the already long list of tariffed goods has been made even longer. Many more commodities were hit on 23 August, but September is likely ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LETTERS OF INDEMNITY AND CHARTERPARTY "TIME BAR" PROVISIONS - STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Introduction
A recent English Court of Appeal decision provides important guidance on the applicability of charterpar ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
IS LNG POISED FOR A NEW GROWTH CYCLE? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gas needs to work for its long-term sustainability. But the mood music is upbeat. Just 18 months ago the LNG market was depressed, anticipating an ...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
U.S. TOTAL COAL EXPORTS TO BE 107 MMST IN 2018 AND 101 MMST IN 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production will decline by 1% to 768 million short tons (MMst) in 2018, despite a 10% (10 MMst) increase in coal exports.
...
Wednesday, 12 September 18
MARINE BUNKERS: THE END OF THE WORLD AS WE KNOW IT - IBIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The world of bunkers is heading for rapid and fundamental changes and not just because of the 0.50% sulphur cap in 2020. ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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