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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 17 September 18
SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE WORLD FLEET WILL FIT SCRUBBERS - FORECASTS : METTE KRONHOLM FRAENDE
In recent months, there have been numerous reports of a strong pick-up in demand for scrubbers. On 1 January 2020, however, the number of ships fit ...
Saturday, 15 September 18
POWERING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW EMISSION COAL TECHNOLOGIES - WCA
In its 5th Strategic Energy Plan this year (2018), the Japanese Cabinet recognised coal as an important energy resource, necessary for the country& ...
Friday, 14 September 18
10 YEARS ON FROM LEHMAN, HOW IS SHIPPING'S "HANGOVER"? - CLARKSONS RESEARCH
On 15th September 2008, the collapse of Lehman Brothers crystallised the financial crisis and the onset the worst economic downturn for a century. ...
Thursday, 13 September 18
OPEC SEES SLOWER 2019 OIL DEMAND GROWTH, WARNS ON ECONOMY
Crude Oil Price Movements
In August, the OPEC Reference Basket declined by $1.01 m-o-m, settling at $72.26/b. Crude oil futures were also down ...
Thursday, 13 September 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA COAL RUN WAS FIXED CLOSE TO $16000 ON ULTRA - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Rates took a further drop in the beginning of the week, to later find a floor around mid-week reaching mid USD 7 level for c5 and just ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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