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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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