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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 February 20
CIL LOOKING TO TAP NON-POWER SECTORS FOR INCREMENTAL COAL, PTI REPORTED
The miner is looking to ramp up production to meet its targets for the current fiscal at a time when the economic slowdown is impacting demand for ...
Friday, 07 February 20
VIRUS - HIT CHINA MAY NEED MORE IMPORTS OF COAL. NOW COMES THE TRICKY PART - SHIPPING IT THERE: REUTERS
China’s domestic coal mines are struggling to ramp up production in the face of the ongoing coronavirus epidemic. That’s a situation th ...
Friday, 07 February 20
CORONAVIRUS IMPACTING THE GLOBAL SHIPPING INDUSTRY - BIMCO
The outbreak of the novel Coronavirus has dented market sentiment and spooked markets around the globe. When China sneezes, we all catch the flu. T ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CAPE: WEAK SUPPLY/DEMAND RATIO THE STREETS REMAIN BLOODY FOR THE BIG SHIPS - FEARNLEYS
Cape: With still a weak supply/demand ratio the streets remain bloody for the big ships, and actual spot earnings are close to zero on main short-h ...
Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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