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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 February 20
COAL INDIA WILL EXCEED LAST YEAR'S PRODUCTION FIGURES: OFFICIAL - PTI
Despite coal production being hampered at Dipka mines due to prolonged rains, Coal India Ltd will exceed last year’s production figures, a to ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
CHANGES IN LNG MARKET COULD UNDERCUT PLANS FOR NEW JAPANESE COAL PLANTS - CLYDE RUSSELL
Reuters: Clyde Russell
The collapse in the spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia is a short-term phenomenon that may wel ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY SEES FREIGHT MARKETS IN A COMPLETE STATE OF COLLAPSE AS DEMAND GETS PARALYZED DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK - ALLIED
With China and the world still trying to contain the effects and come to terms with the Wuhan novel coronavirus outbreak, the shipping industry see ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
WORLD STEEL PRODUCTION IN 2019 - BANCHERO COSTA
In a worrying development, global steel production slowed down considerably in the fourth quarter of 2019. In the final 3 months of 2019, total cru ...
Sunday, 09 February 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA STRUGGLED, A 50,000DWT SHIP FIXING A COAL RUN FROM EAST KALIMANTAN TO INDIA AT $2,000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market endured another dreadful week of calamitous rate level falls, as the usual season low Q1 period combined with rece ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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