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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 February 20
COAL INDIA WILL EXCEED LAST YEAR'S PRODUCTION FIGURES: OFFICIAL - PTI
Despite coal production being hampered at Dipka mines due to prolonged rains, Coal India Ltd will exceed last year’s production figures, a to ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
CHANGES IN LNG MARKET COULD UNDERCUT PLANS FOR NEW JAPANESE COAL PLANTS - CLYDE RUSSELL
Reuters: Clyde Russell
The collapse in the spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia is a short-term phenomenon that may wel ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY SEES FREIGHT MARKETS IN A COMPLETE STATE OF COLLAPSE AS DEMAND GETS PARALYZED DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK - ALLIED
With China and the world still trying to contain the effects and come to terms with the Wuhan novel coronavirus outbreak, the shipping industry see ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
WORLD STEEL PRODUCTION IN 2019 - BANCHERO COSTA
In a worrying development, global steel production slowed down considerably in the fourth quarter of 2019. In the final 3 months of 2019, total cru ...
Sunday, 09 February 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA STRUGGLED, A 50,000DWT SHIP FIXING A COAL RUN FROM EAST KALIMANTAN TO INDIA AT $2,000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market endured another dreadful week of calamitous rate level falls, as the usual season low Q1 period combined with rece ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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