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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO REMAINS POSITIVE ON THE LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS OF COAL MARKET SUPPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA REGION
The global seaborne thermal coal market in 2019 was faced with macro and industry challenges which pushed international coa ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
CORONAVIRUS AND ITS IMPACT ON YOUR CONTRACT - CAN YOU RELY ON 'FORCE MAJEURE'? - INCE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (officially t ...
Monday, 17 February 20
IMO-2020 SULPHUR CAP - ISSUES TO CONSIDER PRIOR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CARRIAGE BAN ON 1 MARCH 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
With the IMO 2020 global sulphur cap now in force, members should bear in mind another significant date in relation to the ‘carriage ban&rsqu ...
Monday, 17 February 20
COVID-19: THE EFFECT OF THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY ON CHARTERPARTY TERMS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Is it useful to compare the COVID-19 with earlier disease outbreaks?
A comparison with the Ebola outbreak ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - REUTERS
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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