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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO REMAINS POSITIVE ON THE LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS OF COAL MARKET SUPPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA REGION
The global seaborne thermal coal market in 2019 was faced with macro and industry challenges which pushed international coa ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
CORONAVIRUS AND ITS IMPACT ON YOUR CONTRACT - CAN YOU RELY ON 'FORCE MAJEURE'? - INCE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (officially t ...
Monday, 17 February 20
IMO-2020 SULPHUR CAP - ISSUES TO CONSIDER PRIOR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CARRIAGE BAN ON 1 MARCH 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
With the IMO 2020 global sulphur cap now in force, members should bear in mind another significant date in relation to the ‘carriage ban&rsqu ...
Monday, 17 February 20
COVID-19: THE EFFECT OF THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY ON CHARTERPARTY TERMS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Is it useful to compare the COVID-19 with earlier disease outbreaks?
A comparison with the Ebola outbreak ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - REUTERS
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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