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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 February 20
MINERS WELCOME INDONESIA'S NEW JOBS BILL THAT COULD SPUR COAL GROWTH - REUTERS
Miners have welcomed proposed changes to Indonesian mining rules under a new law aimed at boosting investment, though critics are concerned that th ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
AS OCEAN TEMPERATURES RISE, SHIPOWNERS LOOK FOR WAYS TO COPE - WARTSILA
The world is heating up, and its oceans are no exception. According to the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the oceans absorb the majo ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The coronavirus outbreak is estimated to negatively affect global economy by at least EUR400bn this year, representing around the 0.4% of global GD ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Under such poorly performing market circumstances, many usually take the historical approach, in order to better understand and further analyze the ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO SHIPPED 27 PERCENT OF ITS TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION IN 2019 TO INDIA AND CHINA
PT Adaro Energy Tbk (AE) produced 58.03 Mt of coal from PT Adaro Indonesia (AI), Balangan Coal Companies and Adaro Me ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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