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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 February 20
MINERS WELCOME INDONESIA'S NEW JOBS BILL THAT COULD SPUR COAL GROWTH - REUTERS
Miners have welcomed proposed changes to Indonesian mining rules under a new law aimed at boosting investment, though critics are concerned that th ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
AS OCEAN TEMPERATURES RISE, SHIPOWNERS LOOK FOR WAYS TO COPE - WARTSILA
The world is heating up, and its oceans are no exception. According to the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the oceans absorb the majo ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The coronavirus outbreak is estimated to negatively affect global economy by at least EUR400bn this year, representing around the 0.4% of global GD ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Under such poorly performing market circumstances, many usually take the historical approach, in order to better understand and further analyze the ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO SHIPPED 27 PERCENT OF ITS TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION IN 2019 TO INDIA AND CHINA
PT Adaro Energy Tbk (AE) produced 58.03 Mt of coal from PT Adaro Indonesia (AI), Balangan Coal Companies and Adaro Me ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
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