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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 09 March 18
U.S. EXPORTED 97 MMST OF COAL IN 2017, A 61 PER CENT INCREASE FROM 2016 - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.1 million short tons ...
Thursday, 08 March 18
BUMA SIGNED OVER US$ 500 MILLION WORTH OF NEW CONTRACT WITH PT TANAH BUMBU RESOURCES
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA"), has entered into mining services ...
Thursday, 08 March 18
THE ENERGY CONTRIBUTION FROM COAL-BASED POWER PLANTS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE TO 1072 BU BY 2021-22 : PIB
Government of India has set an ambitious target of 175 GW from Renewable energy sources (RES) by 2022, which comprises of 100 GW Solar, 60GW from W ...
Thursday, 08 March 18
SUPRAMAX: THE MARKET IS STILL GOING STRONG IN THE PACIFIC - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
The market is still going strong in the Pacific, with Ultra fixing high US$ 13000+375000 bb for South Africa to ECI while nickel ore run ...
Thursday, 08 March 18
AVERAGE U.S. COAL MINING PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES AS PRODUCTION FALLS - EIA
Coal mining productivity in the United States increased 26% over the past five years, reaching 6.8 tons per miner hour in 2017, up from 5.4 tons pe ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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